Sports from the Basement

Pimlico Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, October 3, 2020

October 3, 2020 Pimlico Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Stakes) – Selima S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Domain Expertise 2.50 2 4-1
1 1 Fluffy Socks 4.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Invincible Gal (GB) 3.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Golden Voice 4.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Zeyaraat 10.00 4.7 9-1
7 6 Line Dancing 10.00 4.8 9-1
8 7 Tic Tic Tic Boom 15.00 6.1 11-1
6 6 Celestial Cheetah 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Stakes) – Gallorette S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 4 Storm the Hill 4.50 2.7 5-1
1 1 Juliet Foxtrot (GB) 1.40 3 6-1
8 6 Varenka 5.00 3.2 6-1
3 2 She’sonthewarpath 3.50 3.3 6-1
4 3 No Mo Lady 6.00 3.6 7-1
7 5 Jabuticaba 15.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Not in Jeopardy 20.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Wicked Awesome 1.80 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Skipat S. Presented By Runhappy

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Liza Star 3.00 1.5 3-1
3 2 Never Enough Time 4.00 1.8 3-1
6 5 Bronx Beauty 4.50 2.4 5-1
5 4 Bye Bye J 4.00 2.5 5-1
2 1 S W Briar Rose 12.00 4.2 8-1
7 6 Last True Love 20.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Chalon 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Hilltop S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Chart 5.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 Vigilantes Way 4.50 2.3 4-1
5 5 Evil Lyn 6.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 American Giant 6.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Secret Time (GER) 10.00 4.5 9-1
10 9 Shimmering (IRE) 10.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Ylikedis 12.00 6.2 12-1
3 3 Caravel 12.00 7.3 14-1
1 1 Madam Maclean 15.00 7.6 14-1
9 9 Princess Grace 10.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Aunt Nadine 12.00 SCRATCH
11 10 Lucky Jingle 20.00 10.4 20-1
13 11 Hollywood Hoopla 20.00 10.8 20-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Miss Preakness S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Mundaye Call 1.40 1.9 4-1
4 4 Sound Machine 4.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Ain’t No Elmers 3.50 2.1 4-1
2 2 Wicked Whisper 4.50 2.7 5-1
3 3 Fly On Angel 8.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Princess Cadey 15.00 4.5 8-1
6 6 Ankle Monitor 20.00 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Dinner Party S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Factor This 1.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 Hembree 4.50 1.9 4-1
6 6 Doctor Mounty 5.00 2 4-1
2 2 Somelikeithotbrown 5.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Irish Strait 8.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 True Valour (IRE) 12.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 O Dionysus 30.00 5.2 10-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Frank J. De Francis Memorial Dash S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Admiral Lynch 3.50 1.7 3-1
5 5 Landeskog 2.50 2.1 4-1
2 2 Krsto Skye 5.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Laki 6.00 3.3 6-1
8 6 Nitrous 10.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Eastern Bay 10.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Midtowncharlybrown 15.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Stan the Man 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Laurel Futurity

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Pivotal Mission 3.00 1.7 3-1
8 5 Hidden Enemy (IRE) 4.00 2.1 4-1
3 2 Wootton Asset (FR) 4.50 2.3 4-1
7 4 Catman 8.00 3.5 7-1
4 3 Kidnapped 10.00 4.1 8-1
10 6 Nautilus 10.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 No One to Blame 15.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Light Us Up 12.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Arrest Me Red 6.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Tijuana Brass 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – James W. Murphy S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Chocolate Bar 6.00 2.1 4-1
10 9 Don Juan Kitten 4.50 2.3 4-1
13 11 Bye Bye Melvin 6.00 2.3 4-1
7 6 Vanzzy 8.00 3.4 6-1
12 10 Andesite 10.00 3.5 7-1
9 8 Monday Morning Qb 8.00 3.5 7-1
4 3 Reconvene 10.00 3.9 7-1
6 5 Jolting Joe 15.00 5.4 10-1
5 4 Jack the Umpire 15.00 6.4 12-1
8 7 Oceans Map 20.00 6.8 13-1
2 2 Sunsation 20.00 7.5 14-1
3 3 So Street 15.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Buy Land and See 8.00 SCRATCH
14 12 Paradise Pride 30.00 10.2 19-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – George E. Mitchell Black-eyed Susan S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Bonny South 1.40 2.4 4-1
3 3 So Darn Hot 6.00 3.2 6-1
8 8 Hopeful Growth 8.00 5 10-1
11 10 Perfect Alibi 10.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Mizzen Beau 12.00 5.4 10-1
9 9 Miss Marissa 12.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Dream Marie 15.00 6.7 13-1
1 1 Project Whiskey 15.00 7 13-1
6 6 Sharp Starr 20.00 7.6 14-1
2 2 Truth Hurts 20.00 8.8 17-1
10 10 Landing Zone 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Preakness S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Art Collector 2.50 2.1 4-1
9 9 Authentic 1.80 2.4 5-1
5 5 Thousand Words 6.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Swiss Skydiver 6.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Mr. Big News 12.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Ny Traffic 15.00 4.6 9-1
8 8 Max Player 15.00 5.2 10-1
10 10 Pneumatic 20.00 6.7 13-1
1 1 Excession 30.00 7.6 14-1
6 6 Jesus’ Team 30.00 7.9 15-1
11 11 Liveyourbeastlife 30.00 8.3 16-1

RACE NUMBER 12 (Stakes) – Uae President Cup S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 QUICK SAND AA 3.00 2 4-1
8 8 RB RICH LYKE ME 3.50 2.2 4-1
12 12 DANCE WITH ME BW 5.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 UPTOWN SANDY GIRL 4.50 2.8 5-1
3 3 UPTOWN CRUISEDIRECTOR 12.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 IRIDESSE 12.00 4.3 8-1
9 9 LAZUR HESS 15.00 5 9-1
1 1 PADDYS DAY 12.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 KISSOUUR 15.00 5.5 10-1
11 11 BELLFASTT 20.00 6.2 12-1
2 2 MADJIKMAN 30.00 8.5 16-1
10 10 COLORS IN MOTION 30.00 8.7 16-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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