October 3, 2020 Pimlico Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Stakes) – Selima S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | 4 | Domain Expertise | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
1 | 1 | Fluffy Socks | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
3 | 3 | Invincible Gal (GB) | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
2 | 2 | Golden Voice | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
5 | 5 | Zeyaraat | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
7 | 6 | Line Dancing | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
8 | 7 | Tic Tic Tic Boom | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
6 | 6 | Celestial Cheetah | 15.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Stakes) – Gallorette S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | 4 | Storm the Hill | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
1 | 1 | Juliet Foxtrot (GB) | 1.40 | 3 | 6-1 | |
8 | 6 | Varenka | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
3 | 2 | She’sonthewarpath | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
4 | 3 | No Mo Lady | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
7 | 5 | Jabuticaba | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
2 | 2 | Not in Jeopardy | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
5 | 5 | Wicked Awesome | 1.80 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Skipat S. Presented By Runhappy
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | 3 | Liza Star | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
3 | 2 | Never Enough Time | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
6 | 5 | Bronx Beauty | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
5 | 4 | Bye Bye J | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
2 | 1 | S W Briar Rose | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
7 | 6 | Last True Love | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
1 | 1 | Chalon | 2.50 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Hilltop S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | 2 | Chart | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
7 | 7 | Vigilantes Way | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
5 | 5 | Evil Lyn | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
4 | 4 | American Giant | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
6 | 6 | Secret Time (GER) | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
10 | 9 | Shimmering (IRE) | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
8 | 8 | Ylikedis | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
3 | 3 | Caravel | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
1 | 1 | Madam Maclean | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
9 | 9 | Princess Grace | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
12 | 12 | Aunt Nadine | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
11 | 10 | Lucky Jingle | 20.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
13 | 11 | Hollywood Hoopla | 20.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Miss Preakness S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | 5 | Mundaye Call | 1.40 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
4 | 4 | Sound Machine | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
1 | 1 | Ain’t No Elmers | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
2 | 2 | Wicked Whisper | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
3 | 3 | Fly On Angel | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
7 | 7 | Princess Cadey | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
6 | 6 | Ankle Monitor | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Dinner Party S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | 7 | Factor This | 1.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
3 | 3 | Hembree | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
6 | 6 | Doctor Mounty | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
2 | 2 | Somelikeithotbrown | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
5 | 5 | Irish Strait | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
1 | 1 | True Valour (IRE) | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
4 | 4 | O Dionysus | 30.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Frank J. De Francis Memorial Dash S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | Admiral Lynch | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
5 | 5 | Landeskog | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
2 | 2 | Krsto Skye | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
4 | 4 | Laki | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
8 | 6 | Nitrous | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
3 | 3 | Eastern Bay | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
6 | 6 | Midtowncharlybrown | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
7 | 7 | Stan the Man | 4.50 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Laurel Futurity
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | Pivotal Mission | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
8 | 5 | Hidden Enemy (IRE) | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
3 | 2 | Wootton Asset (FR) | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
7 | 4 | Catman | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
4 | 3 | Kidnapped | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
10 | 6 | Nautilus | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
2 | 2 | No One to Blame | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
5 | 5 | Light Us Up | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
6 | 6 | Arrest Me Red | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
9 | 9 | Tijuana Brass | 20.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – James W. Murphy S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | Chocolate Bar | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
10 | 9 | Don Juan Kitten | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
13 | 11 | Bye Bye Melvin | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
7 | 6 | Vanzzy | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
12 | 10 | Andesite | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
9 | 8 | Monday Morning Qb | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
4 | 3 | Reconvene | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
6 | 5 | Jolting Joe | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
5 | 4 | Jack the Umpire | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
8 | 7 | Oceans Map | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
2 | 2 | Sunsation | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
3 | 3 | So Street | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
11 | 11 | Buy Land and See | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
14 | 12 | Paradise Pride | 30.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – George E. Mitchell Black-eyed Susan S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | 5 | Bonny South | 1.40 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
3 | 3 | So Darn Hot | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
8 | 8 | Hopeful Growth | 8.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
11 | 10 | Perfect Alibi | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
7 | 7 | Mizzen Beau | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
9 | 9 | Miss Marissa | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
4 | 4 | Dream Marie | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
1 | 1 | Project Whiskey | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
6 | 6 | Sharp Starr | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
2 | 2 | Truth Hurts | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
10 | 10 | Landing Zone | 6.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Preakness S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | 3 | Art Collector | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
9 | 9 | Authentic | 1.80 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
5 | 5 | Thousand Words | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
4 | 4 | Swiss Skydiver | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
2 | 2 | Mr. Big News | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
7 | 7 | Ny Traffic | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
8 | 8 | Max Player | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
10 | 10 | Pneumatic | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
1 | 1 | Excession | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
6 | 6 | Jesus’ Team | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
11 | 11 | Liveyourbeastlife | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Stakes) – Uae President Cup S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | 7 | QUICK SAND AA | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
8 | 8 | RB RICH LYKE ME | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
12 | 12 | DANCE WITH ME BW | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
5 | 5 | UPTOWN SANDY GIRL | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
3 | 3 | UPTOWN CRUISEDIRECTOR | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
4 | 4 | IRIDESSE | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
9 | 9 | LAZUR HESS | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
1 | 1 | PADDYS DAY | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
6 | 6 | KISSOUUR | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
11 | 11 | BELLFASTT | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
2 | 2 | MADJIKMAN | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
10 | 10 | COLORS IN MOTION | 30.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.