October 3, 2020 Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Heidi’s Wish | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Heather Hills | 1.80 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Splendor Gal | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Patty Mac’s Girl | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jazzy Juder | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tika | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Susi Sole | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Spitfire Annie | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Victory Time | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Square Peg | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Forty Charm Lady | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Alexa G | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jennyanyspot | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Queen of Muskoka | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Luna | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ana Lass | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hashtag Selfie | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Trappe Me Later | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Don’t Fight | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | My Candy Forest | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Grecian Dancer | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Brutus | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Genghis | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bayou Jam | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Appraised | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lectric Choke | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tappahannock | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Maynooth | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Top Hat Treason | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Majestic Jazz | 1.60 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Nomo d’Oro | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cause for Applause | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Commander’s Intent | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tapitontheside | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 9 | Weather Wiz | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Coach Adams | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Exchequer | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Red Again | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Clever Triad | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Zaya | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Gaultier (FR) | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Mead Avenue | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Rock Solid Golfer | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Yowza Yowza Yowza | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Old Dominion | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Chocolate Ride | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Sugar Streak | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Baci | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Breviary | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dance and Dance | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dilly Does It | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Always a Queen | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mary Alice | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Bambino | 1.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bad Sueno | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Big Bad Bud | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Smart Warrior | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | The Exception | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Biletnikoff | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mr. Hand Full | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | High Threshold | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lethal Levy | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.