Sports from the Basement

Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks for Friday, October 2, 2020

October 2, 2020 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Judicial Restraint 1.80 2.5 5-1
6 6 Blood Moon 1.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Super Wicked Charm 5.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Revenio 10.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 King of American 30.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Bank Gala 15.00 4.5 9-1
7 7 My Amanjena 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Madera 5.00 2 4-1
7 6 Shanny Go Nanny 4.00 2.3 4-1
6 5 Ain’t None Lucky 2.50 3.4 6-1
5 4 Lady Commissioner 8.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Canarsie Girl 6.00 4.5 9-1
9 8 Queentigua 15.00 5.1 10-1
8 7 Empress Luciana 30.00 6.4 12-1
3 3 Sander’s Empire 30.00 6.5 12-1
4 4 Wishes and Dreams 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Risky Mischief 3.00 2.2 4-1
5 3 Speightstown Gal 2.00 3.3 6-1
8 5 Jc’s Shooting Star 4.00 3.6 7-1
11 7 The Important One 5.00 4.6 9-1
3 2 Saratoga Love 6.00 5.2 10-1
9 6 Beaux Arts 8.00 6.1 12-1
7 4 Merlins Muse 12.00 7 13-1
1 1 Archumybaby 6.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Letmetakethiscall 5.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Puffery 8.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Officer Hutchy 1.80 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Starfront 1.60 1.1 2-1
2 2 Tactical Move 4.00 1.6 3-1
1 1 Back Channel 1.40 1.9 4-1
6 6 Undine 8.00 2 4-1
5 5 Halo City 8.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Yes I’m Looking 20.00 4 7-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 6 Sargeant Drive 5.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Daddy Knows 2.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Ventus 4.50 3.2 6-1
7 5 Mr. Shortandsimple 6.00 3.6 7-1
4 3 Bobbyfromthepalm 5.00 3.9 7-1
9 7 Invest 10.00 5.1 10-1
6 4 Indigo Yankee 15.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Dealin’ Stelen 12.00 SCRATCH
5 5 American Rule 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 7 Doswell 2.50 3.5 7-1
8 4 Junkanoo 3.00 4.1 8-1
5 3 Gauguin (GER) 4.50 4.2 8-1
2 1 Succeedandsurpass (IRE) 5.00 4.2 8-1
3 2 Scanno 10.00 5.7 11-1
10 6 Willing to Speed 10.00 5.9 11-1
9 5 Vintage Kitten 20.00 8.2 15-1
1 1 Glynn County 8.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Advance Notice 2.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Point Him Out 20.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Heirloom Kitten 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 6 Full of Fire 4.50 2 4-1
3 3 Tap the Barrel 6.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 Malibu Luna 2.00 2.4 5-1
2 2 Lutescoot N Boogie 2.50 2.4 5-1
1 1 Bustinmygroove 8.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 My Delicious 12.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Azogar 15.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Tequilamemories 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Basquiat 2.50 3.3 6-1
5 5 Irish Mias 4.00 4 8-1
2 2 Plot the Dots 5.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Ever Dangerous 6.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Life On Top 10.00 7 13-1
12 8 Turn of Events 12.00 8 15-1
9 6 Dante’s Fire 15.00 9.2 17-1
6 6 Lost in Rome 12.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Forza Di Oro 4.50 SCRATCH
8 8 Bird King 8.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Assiduously (GB) 4.50 SCRATCH
13 13 Mexican Wonder Boy 6.00 SCRATCH
14A 14 Will Sing for Wine 12.00 SCRATCH
11A 7 Last Opportunity (IRE) 12.00 11.2 21-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Bertram F. Bongard S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Half Right 4.50 1.7 3-1
2 2 Windy Nations 12.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Brooklyn Strong 15.00 2.9 5-1
7 6 Lookin for Trouble 4.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Eagle Orb 2.00 3.5 7-1
6 5 Hold the Salsa 8.00 4 7-1
5 5 Thin White Duke 2.50 SCRATCH
8 8 New York One 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Frat 5.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Boom Boom Kaboom 3.50 3.5 7-1
6 5 False Alarm 10.00 3.8 7-1
10 7 Shandian 12.00 4.3 8-1
8 6 Money in the Bank 8.00 4.6 9-1
4 3 Freudian Analyst 8.00 4.7 9-1
3 2 Brickyard 12.00 4.9 9-1
11 8 Broadway Joe 30.00 6.4 12-1
2 2 Mr. Fidget 8.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Fast Gordon 1.60 SCRATCH
9 9 Top of the Mint 2.50 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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