Sports from the Basement

Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday, September 30, 2020

September 30, 2020 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Ride On Faith 4.00 2.9 5-1
8 8 E J’s Revenge 6.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Thomas Knight 3.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Trusting Friend 5.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Watch Your Words 3.50 4 7-1
3 3 The Italian 6.00 4 8-1
6 6 Draxhall Woods 4.50 4.6 9-1
1 1 Ask Chuck 15.00 4.8 9-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5A 3 Iwasbornawinner 4.50 2.1 4-1
3A 2 Willthisshipsail 4.50 2.2 4-1
7 5 Lady Valentina 3.50 2.2 4-1
2 1 Donna Quixote 20.00 5.9 11-1
8 6 Point Lockout 20.00 6.1 11-1
9 7 Aleda Lutz 15.00 6.2 12-1
6 4 Deserted 15.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Deirdre of Legend 15.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Yours Completely 2.50 SCRATCH
10 10 Triple Jump 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Violent Impact 1.60 3.5 7-1
3 2 Field Officer 5.00 4.2 8-1
4 3 Rickie’s Melody 15.00 4.2 8-1
6 5 Odds Are 8.00 5 9-1
10 9 Huracan 20.00 5.7 11-1
9 8 Happyascanb 2.50 5.8 11-1
5 4 Railroad Bill 15.00 6.5 12-1
8 7 Del Po 10.00 6.6 13-1
1 1 Erin Go Braugh 15.00 7 13-1
2 2 Bullzilla 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Piggybank 8.00 5.6 11-1
6 5 Marnesia One Step 15.00 6 11-1
9 7 Shiloh Lane 5.00 6.9 13-1
1 1 Factum Love Style 4.50 7.2 14-1
5 4 Afleet Melody 6.00 7.7 14-1
3 2 Prefontaine 20.00 9.2 17-1
4 3 Commissioner Dave 20.00 9.6 18-1
2 2 Santo 8.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Naked in Cabo 3.50 SCRATCH
10 10 Bowled Over 12.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Leyenda Azteca 20.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Zumbya 15.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Masterio 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Jamminwithbrandon 6.00 3.2 6-1
6 5 Lookin At Roses 5.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Dixie Drawl 2.50 3.6 7-1
8 7 Celtic Treasure 3.50 4 8-1
9 8 Grit’n’grind 10.00 4.7 9-1
4 3 Colonist 8.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Kion 15.00 5.6 11-1
7 6 Flat Out Flashy 15.00 6.2 12-1
3 3 Flat Out Flying 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 8 Widget Factory 8.00 4.4 8-1
3 2 Flatexcel 10.00 4.8 9-1
4 3 Beau Trace 12.00 4.9 9-1
9 7 March Screamer 3.50 5.2 10-1
7 5 Hail to the King 8.00 5.5 10-1
11 9 Proud and Furious 10.00 6 11-1
8 6 Here Wego 4.00 6.4 12-1
6 4 El Dulzura 15.00 6.5 12-1
1 1 Tu Exageres 20.00 8.1 15-1
2 2 American River (VEN) 5.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Raggy Rocks 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Lady Magica 4.50 4.9 9-1
4 4 Snow Forecast 3.00 5 10-1
2 2 Cardi G 10.00 6.9 13-1
3 3 Karabessa 12.00 7.1 14-1
7 6 Aussie Mist 15.00 7.3 14-1
12 8 La Candelita 20.00 7.6 14-1
9 7 Blue Shine 15.00 8.6 16-1
1A 1 Mrs. Crews 20.00 8.7 16-1
5 5 Scarfree 4.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Offlee Optimistic 15.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Awsum Roar 5.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Wildcattin 6.00 SCRATCH
13A 9 Rochela 20.00 13 25-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Kaylasaurus 3.50 2.8 5-1
4 3 Sunny Dale 1.60 3.4 6-1
6 5 Lucky Imagination 6.00 3.5 7-1
3 2 Tiz Gracie 5.00 4.1 8-1
5 4 Ms Teek 4.50 4.2 8-1
2 1 Charly’s Charm 12.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Jaffle 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Inter Miami 2.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Sir Back in Black 3.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Get Set 4.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Heros Reward 5.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Informative 6.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 David’s Gem 6.00 5.1 10-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 If You Only Knew 4.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Special Risk 6.00 4.8 9-1
11 10 Chevy to the Levy 4.50 4.9 9-1
10 9 Robin’s Destiny 12.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Mary Costa 10.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Bon Heir 2.50 5.8 11-1
5 5 Volodina 2.00 6.2 12-1
4 4 Sydney Time 20.00 6.5 12-1
7 7 Dancingthehnydaway 20.00 7.2 14-1
8 8 Pansy 20.00 7.3 14-1
9 9 Baltimore Beauty 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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