September 30, 2020 Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Dogwood Queen | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gypsy Girl | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Drive In | 1.80 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Revolving Love | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | That Is Key | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Damisela | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Driver’s License | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Cougar Vision | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Fine N Dandy | 1.80 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Stylemeister | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Martini Lane | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Thin Spaces | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Berry Hill | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Monyinthebanksey | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Wild Go | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bolter | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Valley Cal | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Fuego | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 3 | Gallinipper | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 4 | Thunder Day | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 2 | Doodle Time | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Officer Matute | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Seville Row | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Palace Kitten | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Sage Canyon | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Curlington | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Busster Von Trappe | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Blameless | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | J Beresford Tipton | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Perfect Daydream | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Hurricane Party | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | English Tavern | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Kingston Pike | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Sir Rockport | 1.80 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Phish Fan | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Why Joey Why | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Keeping the Peace | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Americano | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | For the Road | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Malibu Mischief | 1.60 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dreaming Diamonds | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | She Answered | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Gray Haze | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Bettyann | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Our Lady of Loreto | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Pretty Edgy | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Bustin Hearts | 1.40 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Heatherly | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Fran’s Salsa | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 6 | Kaylie’s Girl | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 5 | R True Sensation | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Ballerina Kitten | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Missimard | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Princess Killmain | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Butterfly Rose | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Checotah | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Eifs | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2A | 2 | Take Your Place | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Belle Tapisserie | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | He’s Smokin Now | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Tip for Tap | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Perfect Cover | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tommy Shelby | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | W W Springtime | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6A | 6 | Thundershook | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Indian Lake | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Alwaysinahurry | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | The King Cheek | 4.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Jaquavious | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Gaming Jack | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Clever and Great | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Big Daddy Buzz | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Frankie Z | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Scotty Silver | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.