Sports from the Basement

Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks for Tuesday, September 29, 2020

September 29, 2020 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Diamond Setter 3.50 2.7 5-1
9 9 Immunity 5.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 American Roma 8.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Grasshoppin 4.50 3.9 7-1
2 2 Miami Tiger 6.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 Armament 3.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Window Table 10.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 K D’s Cat Bird 12.00 5 10-1
3 3 Metaphorical 20.00 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Brazen 1.80 4.3 8-1
7 6 Mirror Mirror 6.00 4.4 8-1
5 4 Dougie 3.50 5.1 10-1
4 3 Rising Storm 8.00 5.3 10-1
8 7 Louie’s Wish 20.00 5.5 10-1
9 8 Son of Darkness 4.50 6.8 13-1
6 5 Finn’s Posse 15.00 6.9 13-1
3 2 Asbury Ave 15.00 7.1 13-1
10 9 Jump Shot 20.00 7.7 14-1
11 10 Another Smarty 20.00 8.2 15-1
2 2 Game Changer 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Stormbeam 4.50 2.1 4-1
6 6 Seeking Shamrocks 3.50 3 6-1
2 2 Gossip Isle 6.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Slingin Sammy B 8.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Love On Fire 2.50 3.7 7-1
7 7 Shanghaisweetheart 8.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Hay Buck 12.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 She’smyrisenstar 8.00 5.2 10-1
8 8 Towson 15.00 6.4 12-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Shaft of Light 2.50 2.7 5-1
4 4 Pegasus Red 3.50 3 6-1
2 1 Midnight Games 6.00 4.4 8-1
12 11 Marriage Fever 10.00 6.2 12-1
5 5 Colorado Grandslam 12.00 6.9 13-1
1 3 Forest River 8.00 7.2 14-1
8 8 Sunrise Saturday 12.00 7.9 15-1
10 10 My Pirate 15.00 8.1 15-1
7 7 Reigning Warrior 20.00 8.4 16-1
3 2 Lunar Rover 20.00 8.7 16-1
6 6 R Jolley Dreamer 20.00 8.7 16-1
1A 14 The Money Train 8.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Don Camillo 20.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Saucy Don 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 2 Dig Charlie Dig 2.50 2 4-1
8 8 Irish Meadow 4.50 2.2 4-1
7 7 Five More Minutes 8.00 3.7 7-1
9 9 Great Go Go 4.00 3.8 7-1
2 1 Our Philly Special 8.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Aced 3.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Ready and Rich 10.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Mission Oberon 15.00 6.5 12-1
3 3 Will’s Pioneer 10.00 6.6 12-1
1A 5 Jamminwithbrandon 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 6 Collegeville Girl 2.00 2.5 5-1
3 4 Nth Degree 3.00 2.8 5-1
4 5 I’m the Talent 4.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 She’smysunshine 6.00 4 7-1
1A 2 Coupella 6.00 4.1 8-1
6 7 Corn Off the Cob 4.50 4.3 8-1
2 3 Doctorsofmischief 6.00 4.4 8-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 7 Penance 2.00 1.7 3-1
7 5 Janelle Dreams 4.50 3 6-1
6 4 Bryce’s Philly 12.00 6.2 12-1
11 6 Hallucination 10.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Theodosia 8.00 6.5 12-1
3 2 Midnight Bounty 10.00 7.3 14-1
4 3 Friday Mass 15.00 8 15-1
2 2 Boomerang Miss 3.50 SCRATCH
5 5 Empty House 15.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Codrington 6.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Take Charge Tina 1.80 SCRATCH
10 10 Luna Azteca 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 2 Puttheglassdown 3.00 2.3 4-1
8 6 Septimius Severus 3.50 2.7 5-1
5 3 Brilliant Chase 2.50 3.9 7-1
6 4 Barcode 8.00 3.9 7-1
7 5 Stay Hydrated 12.00 4.8 9-1
9 7 Geebert 12.00 5.9 11-1
2 1 Screen Saver 12.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Gravel Road 6.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Strawberry Red 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 2 Quality Choice 3.00 2.2 4-1
9 5 Sail At Sunrise 5.00 3.8 7-1
6 3 In Equality 10.00 4.6 9-1
10 6 Afterburner 4.50 5 9-1
4 1 Risque Rebel 15.00 7.3 14-1
8 4 Very Colorful 20.00 7.7 15-1
11 7 Devilry 20.00 8.5 16-1
1 1 Glamorous Thunder 10.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Democratic 15.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Flowmotion 2.50 SCRATCH
7 7 Noble Authority 6.00 SCRATCH
12 12 I Say I Play 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 6 Boat Over the Hill 3.00 2.6 5-1
8 5 Silverzar 5.00 3 6-1
6 3 Kingsville 3.50 3 6-1
5 2 Synergized 8.00 3.5 7-1
4 1 Loan Me Your Ear 6.00 5.1 10-1
7 4 Surfer Boy George 8.00 5.3 10-1
11 8 Donnie Brasco 20.00 6.1 12-1
10 7 Sincere Man 20.00 6.1 12-1
1 1 Beau Trace 10.00 SCRATCH
2 2 March Screamer 10.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Sacrificing It All 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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