September 29, 2020 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Diamond Setter | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Immunity | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | American Roma | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Grasshoppin | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Miami Tiger | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Armament | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Window Table | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | K D’s Cat Bird | 12.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Metaphorical | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Brazen | 1.80 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Mirror Mirror | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Dougie | 3.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Rising Storm | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Louie’s Wish | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Son of Darkness | 4.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Finn’s Posse | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Asbury Ave | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Jump Shot | 20.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Another Smarty | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Game Changer | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Stormbeam | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Seeking Shamrocks | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gossip Isle | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Slingin Sammy B | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Love On Fire | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Shanghaisweetheart | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hay Buck | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | She’smyrisenstar | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Towson | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Shaft of Light | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pegasus Red | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Midnight Games | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Marriage Fever | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Colorado Grandslam | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | Forest River | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sunrise Saturday | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | My Pirate | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Reigning Warrior | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Lunar Rover | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | R Jolley Dreamer | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 1A | 14 | The Money Train | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Don Camillo | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Saucy Don | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | Dig Charlie Dig | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Irish Meadow | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Five More Minutes | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Great Go Go | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Our Philly Special | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Aced | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ready and Rich | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mission Oberon | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Will’s Pioneer | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 1A | 5 | Jamminwithbrandon | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 6 | Collegeville Girl | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 4 | Nth Degree | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 5 | I’m the Talent | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | She’smysunshine | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 1A | 2 | Coupella | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 7 | Corn Off the Cob | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 3 | Doctorsofmischief | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 7 | Penance | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Janelle Dreams | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Bryce’s Philly | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 6 | Hallucination | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Theodosia | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Midnight Bounty | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Friday Mass | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Boomerang Miss | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Empty House | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Codrington | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Take Charge Tina | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Luna Azteca | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 2 | Puttheglassdown | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Septimius Severus | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Brilliant Chase | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Barcode | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Stay Hydrated | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Geebert | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Screen Saver | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gravel Road | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Strawberry Red | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 2 | Quality Choice | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 5 | Sail At Sunrise | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | In Equality | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 6 | Afterburner | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 1 | Risque Rebel | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 4 | Very Colorful | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 7 | Devilry | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Glamorous Thunder | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Democratic | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Flowmotion | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Noble Authority | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | I Say I Play | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 6 | Boat Over the Hill | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Silverzar | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Kingsville | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 2 | Synergized | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 1 | Loan Me Your Ear | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Surfer Boy George | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Donnie Brasco | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Sincere Man | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Beau Trace | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | March Screamer | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Sacrificing It All | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.