Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks for Monday, September 28, 2020

September 28, 2020 Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks.


Try SFTB Plus for Free

$10 a Month Gets You Horse Racing Advanced Stats including an optimizer for each race.

Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!

Learn More

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Special Intention 6.00 3 6-1
1 2 Stolen Love 4.00 4.7 9-1
2 1 Tisdale 3.50 4.8 9-1
4 4 Da Winner Is 2.50 4.9 9-1
6 5 Lord Simba 8.00 5.1 10-1
8 7 Iwishiwaspecial 6.00 5.2 10-1
7 6 Poppy’s Two Step 15.00 5.8 11-1
1A 3 These Blues 4.00 SCRATCH
5 6 Howboutdempats 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 5 Felix Leiter 20.00 5.7 11-1
9 6 Betts 8.00 5.7 11-1
6 3 Won the Byng 8.00 6.1 11-1
3 1 Bowled Over 15.00 6.1 12-1
4 2 Mo American 10.00 7.8 15-1
7 4 Bourbon Agogo 15.00 7.8 15-1
1 1 Better Tapit 3.50 SCRATCH
2 2 Mighty Mark 20.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Fortyeightstraight 15.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Ratify 4.50 SCRATCH
11 11 Begonia 6.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Smart Entry 30.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Lasting Image 5.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Survey (IRE) 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Beyond Gone 3.00 1.6 3-1
6 6 Honor Run 5.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Pataz 5.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 In the Loop 4.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Prince Khozan 6.00 3.3 6-1
8 8 High Rider 10.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Federale 8.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Big Hambone 12.00 4.7 9-1
9 9 Nomo d’Oro 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Allende 1.60 1.3 3-1
5 5 Dance for the Gold 3.50 1.9 4-1
6 6 Street Nonsense 8.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Bourbon Wildcat 8.00 2.8 5-1
8 7 Spring the Trappe 20.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Sand in My Shoes 20.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Quality too Spare 20.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 P J’s Ego 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 5 Stiva 3.50 2.7 5-1
10 3 I Love You 5.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Don’t Charge It 12.00 5.4 10-1
7 2 Dude’s Secret 15.00 6.7 13-1
11 4 Owesaycanyousee 15.00 6.7 13-1
2 2 Jumpstartmyheart 6.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Pride Leader 6.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Dancingwithpaynter 4.50 SCRATCH
5 5 New Found Treasure 12.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Nevisian Spirit 12.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Sundrenched 12.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Kupuri 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 3 Nana’s Shoes 3.00 1.8 3-1
6 4 Misdriven 4.00 2 4-1
3 2 Lady Breanna 8.00 3.1 6-1
2 1 Stakes On a Plane 6.00 3.1 6-1
8 6 Hola Princess 10.00 3.3 6-1
7 5 There Goes My Girl 20.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Alexbabe 15.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Fiduciary Values 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 1 Platinum Paynter 3.50 1.7 3-1
7 3 Take Charge Tina 2.50 2.4 5-1
6 2 Justin Time 6.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Shifra Magician 10.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Madame X. 15.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Noble Intentions 10.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Morgan’s Z Va 8.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Bella Pierina 4.50 SCRATCH
9 9 Codrington 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Confessor 3.50 2.1 4-1
5 4 Pretty Good Year 4.50 2.4 4-1
3 2 Cerulean Springs 6.00 2.5 5-1
4 3 Militiaman 6.00 2.8 5-1
10 6 Super John 5.00 3 6-1
1 1 Youngest of Five 12.00 6.3 12-1
1A 11 Almithmaar 12.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Forevamo 12.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Ballivor 10.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Skyscanner 15.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Bird King 8.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.