Sports from the Basement

Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, September 27, 2020

September 27, 2020 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Gregdar 2.50 1.9 4-1
3 3 Capo Mafioso 3.50 2.3 4-1
6 6 Spanish Count 4.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Whispering Flame 12.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Not Gonna Last 5.00 5.1 10-1
8 8 Twirling the Gold 4.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 With Due Cause 8.00 6 11-1
9 9 Verry Bossy 30.00 6.4 12-1
1 1 Jack Cool 50.00 8.4 16-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Flash Magic 0.80 1.5 3-1
5 5 Park Avenue 4.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Dani Mo 6.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Heels Up 2.50 3.4 6-1
2 2 I’m the Boss of Me 10.00 3.5 7-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Camino de Estrella 3.00 2 4-1
7 7 El Huerfano 2.50 2 4-1
5 5 Conquest Cobra 4.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Caymans Cobra 6.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Wilshire Dude 4.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Platinum Equity 6.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Paynter’s Boy 12.00 6.5 12-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Zenyatta S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Fighting Mad 0.40 2.1 4-1
3 3 Harvest Moon 4.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 Proud Emma 10.00 2.9 5-1
5 4 Hard Not to Love 3.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Hang a Star 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Lane Way 4.00 1.6 3-1
4 4 Cali Caliente 3.50 2.1 4-1
3 3 Tiberius Mercurius 5.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 Fly to Mars 2.50 2.4 5-1
7 7 Three Ay Em 6.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Liberal (IRE) 12.00 4 7-1
1 1 Kneedeepinsnow 8.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 New Year 10.00 5.7 11-1
8 8 Suances Secret 50.00 6.4 12-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Cem Sultan 4.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Appreciated 3.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Devil Made Me Doit 3.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Brickyard Ride 2.50 3.7 7-1
3 3 Tobacco Road 12.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Secret Courier 10.00 5.5 10-1
8 8 Howbeit 20.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Heartfullofstars 10.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Superstition 5.00 1.5 3-1
7 7 Acting Out 3.00 2.1 4-1
9 9 Shes’a Perfectlady 6.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Le Tub 4.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Vegas Palm 6.00 3.6 7-1
8 8 Her Legacy 6.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Rocking Redhead 6.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Wicks and Chappies 20.00 7.4 14-1
6 6 Cherry City 12.00 7.8 15-1
10 10 Ya Beauty (GB) 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Santa Anita Sprint Championship S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Collusion Illusion 1.80 1.5 3-1
4 4 C Z Rocket 1.60 1.6 3-1
3 3 Flagstaff 2.50 2.9 5-1
2 2 Desert Law 8.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Giant Expectations 6.00 4.2 8-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Althea Gibson 2.50 3.6 7-1
1 1 Sofi’s Gold 6.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Wishful 10.00 6.3 12-1
7 6 Concise Advice 6.00 7.8 15-1
2 2 None of Your Biz 8.00 8 15-1
3 3 Shylock Eddie 4.00 8.7 16-1
6 6 Win Often 5.00 SCRATCH
9 8 Queensbeccaandjane 10.00 9.3 18-1
10 10 Dairy Kid 30.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Hotitude 6.00 SCRATCH
12 12 D’s Lovely Sophia 0.00 SCRATCH
13 13 A Melis 5.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Brenda’s an I Full 4.00 SCRATCH
8 7 Sweet Rafaela 12.00 10.1 19-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Tokyo City Cup S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Combatant 1.80 1.9 4-1
1 1 Cupid’s Claws 6.00 2.2 4-1
7 7 Azul Coast 8.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Tizamagician 2.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Potantico 3.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Muralist 15.00 4 8-1
4 4 Bold Endeavor 20.00 6.4 12-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Wind and Hope 5.00 2.4 5-1
7 7 Via Angelica 8.00 2.8 5-1
9 9 Viazar 3.00 3.3 6-1
8 8 Constantia 4.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Acoustic Shadow 12.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Miss Addie Pray 6.00 4.5 8-1
2 2 Disappearing Act 6.00 5.1 10-1
10 10 Bristol Bayou 8.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Nurse Goodbody 15.00 9.4 18-1
3 3 Miss Mo’ Licious 20.00 9.7 18-1
11 11 This Tea 3.50 SCRATCH
12 12 Awesome Ella 12.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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