Sports from the Basement

Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, September 26, 2020

September 26, 2020 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 8 Makabim 5.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Captain D 2.50 3.8 7-1
3 3 R U Lucky 3.50 4.1 8-1
11 9 Purecrazidude 8.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Scar 6.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Semper Fi 8.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Saint Benevolence 15.00 8.1 15-1
9 7 Indy’s Jewel 20.00 8.4 16-1
2 2 Mecha Corta 20.00 9.7 18-1
7 7 Imperial Moment 4.50 SCRATCH
8 8 Threshold 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Fiery Princess 2.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Drillzilla 8.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Trinni Sunshine 4.50 3.3 6-1
1 1 G T’s Blue Squall 4.00 3.4 7-1
4 4 Surprise Arrival 2.50 3.6 7-1
6 6 Truly Ambitious 15.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Race the Storm 20.00 5.9 11-1
8 8 Run Snip Run 30.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 4 Golden V C 10.00 3.3 6-1
8 5 Violent Fight 2.50 4.3 8-1
1 1 Atakan 15.00 6.1 12-1
4 2 Coming Up Roses 20.00 7.7 15-1
9 6 At the Beach 30.00 8.7 17-1
5 3 Mike Is Ready 30.00 9.8 18-1
2 2 Lets Play Hardball 1.80 SCRATCH
3 3 Venerate 15.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Bee Major 6.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Light Fury 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Bailey 2.50 1.3 2-1
7 7 Big Thorn 4.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 Little Demon 3.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Trick Shot 5.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Cajun Commander 6.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Circus 8.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Marsala Monarch 10.00 5.7 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Geonosis 4.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Create Again 3.50 2.6 5-1
6 6 Dizzy Gillespie 3.00 2.7 5-1
8 8 Chase Runner 4.50 4 8-1
5 5 Dardanellos 5.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Surf Shack 12.00 6.6 12-1
7 7 So Long Chuck 12.00 7 13-1
4 4 Espresso Caliente 12.00 7.2 14-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Ftboa Florida Sire Wildcat Heir S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Noble Drama 1.80 2.3 4-1
1 1 Jackson 2.50 2.7 5-1
2 2 Squeezadios 4.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Garter and Tie 3.50 2.8 5-1
4 4 Turn On the Magic 10.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Just Kidding 12.00 4.8 9-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Hollywood Beach S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Designed by Kitten 2.50 2.4 5-1
5 5 Espia 5.00 2.9 6-1
3 3 Just Right Mike 6.00 3.5 7-1
10 8 Big Daddy Dave 1.80 4.4 8-1
2 2 Casalsa 8.00 4.7 9-1
9 7 Swaggy George 10.00 4.9 9-1
7 6 Omaha City 12.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Hall Rich Legacy 30.00 9.9 19-1
6 6 Awesome Gerry 5.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Tiger 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Ftboa Florida Sire My Dear Girl S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Big Rings 3.00 1.7 3-1
7 6 Princess Secret 2.50 2.8 5-1
3 3 Go Jo Jo Go 4.50 3.3 6-1
9 8 Freak 8.00 3.4 7-1
8 7 Lilac Lace 10.00 4.8 9-1
5 4 Tamiami 15.00 6 11-1
1 1 Restofthestory 15.00 6 11-1
6 5 Alluramore 20.00 6.1 11-1
10 9 Splash Cash 30.00 7.1 13-1
4 4 Oh Deborah 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Armed Forces S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Raison d’Air 2.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Poppy’s Pride 4.50 3.5 7-1
5 5 Fulmini 2.50 3.6 7-1
6 6 Kicks On Sixty Six 12.00 4.5 8-1
7 7 Castle King 5.00 4.6 9-1
9 9 Top Boss 8.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Oxbow Pioneer 20.00 6.9 13-1
8 8 Mister Leonardo 30.00 7.6 14-1
1 1 Catching Fish 30.00 8.4 16-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Ftboa Florida Sire In Reality S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Gatsby 4.50 3.1 6-1
4 4 Breeze On By 1.00 3.4 6-1
8 8 Hercules 10.00 3.8 7-1
9 9 Seazan 5.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Chess’s Dream 10.00 5 9-1
6 6 Honesto 20.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Boca Boy 8.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 The Red Man 20.00 6.2 12-1
1 1 Social Equality 30.00 6.5 12-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Our Dear Peggy S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 10 Happy Constitution 4.00 2.8 5-1
8 7 Con Lima 1.20 2.9 6-1
4 4 Marvelous Marlene 8.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Quinoa Tifah 10.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Can’t Buy Love 6.00 4.8 9-1
9 8 Viburnum 20.00 6.6 12-1
7 6 Mashugana 15.00 6.9 13-1
1 1 Romantical Note 30.00 7.6 14-1
10 9 Special Inclusion 30.00 8.4 16-1
6 5 Battle Cry 30.00 8.9 17-1
5 5 I Get It 12.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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