September 25, 2020 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Mischiffie (IRE) | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Watch Me Burn | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lucky Peridot | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Holly Hundy | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Great Return | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fantasy Heat | 2.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | High On Gin | 1.20 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Trouville | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dehydration | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | La Rosa Drive | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Florentine Diamond | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Munny | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Don’t Stop Lookin | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Blackout (FR) | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shane Zain | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ultimate Bango | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Oil Can Knight | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Seven Scents | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Never Easy | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Single Me Out | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | About Our Time | 5.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Psycho Dar | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Polar Wind | 1.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bronn | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Big Hoof Dynamite | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Race Home | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | The Stiff | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Promise Nothing | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Signofthecross | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Cassie Belle | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Envy | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Eddie’s Sister | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Va Va Voom | 3.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Spanish Channel | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bella Chica | 5.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Three Dreams | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Rickie Nine Toe’s | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Maria’s Royalty | 30.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Forever Free | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Excess Coil | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Chillingworth S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Qahira | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Amuse | 2.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Into Chocolate | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Mucho Amor | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Hang a Star | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Message | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Unique Factor | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Eddie D S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | El Tigre Terrible | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Big Runnuer | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Grit and Curiosity | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wildman Jack | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sparky Ville | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Give Me the Lute | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mr Vargas | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Zorich | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fratelli | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Oakland Mills | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sly | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Minoso | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Great Ulysses | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Nesbitt | 4.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Bedrock | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Big Cheddar | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Press Briefing | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Calder Vale | 30.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Golden Image | 30.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Awesome Drive | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gypsy Spirit (GB) | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Avenue de France (FR) | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kitty Boom Boom | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Unicorn | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Aunt Lubie | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Nice Ice | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Miss Georgie Gal | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Into Victory | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mountain Pass | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | She B Salty | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Faded Love | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Alicia’s Pride | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Enriched by Deb | 10.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Our Romance | 8.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Wine At Sunset | 12.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Suezaaana | 8.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Mozart | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Pomegranate | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Scream and Shout | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Some Royalty | 50.00 | 12.6 | 24-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.