September 25, 2020 Arlington Horse Racing Picks.
Try SFTB Plus for Free
$10 a Month Gets You Horse Racing Advanced Stats including an optimizer for each race.
Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Smart Remark | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mojo Man | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Richiesinthehouse | 2.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Puntsville | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Dugout | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Cinco Star | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dabo | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Devileye | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Billy Not William | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 4 | Charliecando | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Outrider | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 8 | Medal of Fact | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Coming Up Aces | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | My Pal Jac | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Biarritz | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Pflash of Red | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Wave’ndumoni | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Smart Trial | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Helen Mae’s Song | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Animauxselle | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Bit Money | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Kenai Cool | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Hal’s Mischief | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Case Cracker | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | American Biz | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Deauville Mist | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Valiant Lady | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Her Wild Lifestyle | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Don’t Hold Queens | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Dance | 20.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | Lady Warrior | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Air Force Jet (GB) | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Grandal | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Cuestion de Tiempo | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Liberal Lunacy | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Take Me Up Brady | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Stormin El Prado | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Glacken’s Ghost | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Midnight Blue Note | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Trappe Valley | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | American Heritage | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Oncewewerebrothers | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Quarky | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Supermans Cape | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Arba | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Summer Castle | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | River Evangelist | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Miracle Mountain | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Love Your Buttons | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Water Moccasin | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Uno Emayo | 4.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Peppered | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | Bunster | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Crow Moon | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Andreas | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | He’s Dann Good | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 10 | Cadet Captain | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Jack Snipe’s | 12.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Prince Arlo | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Bella Linda | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Sundereya | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pierette | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Go Yeowomen | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Have the Facts | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 11 | Sky Freak | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Trophy Bridle | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Glory Ride | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 12 | Temptation Eyes | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Stormy Empire | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Auriga | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Probably Grace | 10.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | New Rules | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Kara’s Angel | 30.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Princess Cora | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 14 | 11 | Launch Away | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 9 | Superstar Bea | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Elke Do Jaguarete (BRZ) | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Fall Moon | 15.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 13 | 10 | Native Lion | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fate Factor | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Absolute Love | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 8 | Windy City Girl | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Moon Over Cabo | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | According to Aspen | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tizaladybug | 30.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Summer Day | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 7 | Guest in My Heart | 30.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Kanfu | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | La Negra Noche | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Winnager | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Stopshoppingamy | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Simply Fast | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Ozette | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Somthingscandalous | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bourbon Blues | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Sweet Prayers | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Palago | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Me too Mo | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Foo Foo Girl | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Temrik | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Moonlight Dancing | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Swamp Witch Haddy | 10.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Illusionista | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Wildwood Maggie | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Colorofacloud | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Unburnt | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mary’s a Jem | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Zappi | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Farcical | 3.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Hot Pepper Suzie | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Cookin Roses | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | No Passing Zone | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | B Rewarding | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.