September 24, 2020 Pimlico Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Hard Fought | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Kiss My Note | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Lucky Ramsey | 3.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Can He Shine | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Soulmate | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Jo’s Bold Cat | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Old Dominion | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Atreyu | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Clever Triad | 15.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Colonel Juan | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Walk Away Joe | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Once More Eh | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Indian Ghost | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lucid Dream | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Glengar | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Battle Ready | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Campari | 4.50 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Best Offer | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Hard Sting | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Include It | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Food and Wine | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Compass Course | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ready Reward | 6.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ballyhoo Prince | 4.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Divine Proportion | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Air Lift | 5.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Nicky Bear | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Security Breach | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Lunar Cycle | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Yes Sir Colonel | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Winston Pegg | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Unlikely | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Ticker Tape Parade | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Talent Scout | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Team Tim | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tricky Lion | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | The Forty Factor | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sidewalk Prophet | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Swing Step | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Eldritch (IRE) | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Earned It | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Posterity | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | No Knock Raid | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Approvethismessage | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Across the Aisle | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Golden Spear | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rule Yourself | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Barin | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Minister’s Strike | 2.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | The Mighty Judge | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Out of Sorts | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Whiskey and Rye | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Honorgetic | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Kubie Snacks | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Lookin Back | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Danger Zone | 8.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Closertotheheart | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Union Tatters | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Salamina | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Mystique Palace | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bley | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Fly the W | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | He’s One Wild Dude | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Railmaster | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Padrino’s Heart | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Xmasinthecity | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Battlebus | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Grateful Bred | 5.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Sea Lover | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 2A | 2 | Greely Is Back | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Boppin Anda Weavin | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11A | 11 | Starry Messenger | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Sheriff Chip | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Elusive Motion | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Reckless Life | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Find Your Boaz | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | King Pacay | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Overpower | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Three Chopt Punch | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Galactic Slam | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Feature Act | 1.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.