September 24, 2020 Arlington Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Land Mark Deal | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rag Tag | 1.80 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Admiral Returns | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lemon Kick | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Singasongsam | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | A Bold Ryde | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bird Key | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Royal Trumpet | 30.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Bizzee Channel | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Memory Bank | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cammack | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Imperial Mission | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sir Anthony | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Arrival | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dazzling Truths | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Changi | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sky Mischief | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Clarestown | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Scenic Overlook | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Temper Tantrum | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cohen’s Curve | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pressing Concern | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Simple Logic | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dream Keeper | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Altmeister | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Beealea | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Fifthatnarraganset | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Melissani | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Eye On the Finish | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Risky Risky Risky | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ms Kela Time | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Summer Express | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hook Her Up | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Big Luck | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | U. S. Currency | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Godsgift | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rangoon Attack | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Teletap | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tre Lee Divine | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Little Baltar | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Stormy Pacific | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Fort Commander | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Tres Generaciones | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Joey B | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Workingforaliving | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Summer Disco | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Barnyard Fiddler | 8.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Timingiseverything | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Landing Gear | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Uncle Nearis | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 12 | Maximus Image | 30.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Sense of Self | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Stolen Glance | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | She’s Honorable | 1.80 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Ashleysdream | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Tally Up | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Blazing Ruby | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Sundance Chick | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Twelve Red Roses | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Supreme Irene | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Miss Gavel | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Henrys Girl | 30.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Irrevocable Trust | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | No Passing Zone | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Equally Even | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Wake Up Joe | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 7 | Citali | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Another Richie | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Follow the Signs | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Nyoman | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 9 | Hinton | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Lee’s Luck | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | At Guard | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Four Left Feet | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Battle N Away | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Fort Ramsey | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Country Cool | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Not Chopped Liver | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Derby City | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Azusa St. | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Givin Up None | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Clear to Close | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Magi | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Riding the Train | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Idaho Tornado | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Last Spring | 15.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Will Ya Win Sum | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mister Charming | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Hammers Thirsty | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Turfmeister | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Lookin’ At Mike | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 10 | Star of Kodiak | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Clear N Convincing | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Sammys Dream | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Richie Gary | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Honest to Goodness | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Candy Store | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Antarctic | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jeff the Lion | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tak | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | High Heater | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Campioni | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Betwithbothhands | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.