September 20, 2020 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Taqseemaat | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cadencia | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Momentita | 4.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gambling Cat | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lilly Simone | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Uptown Flirt | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | We Miss Harvey | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Evvie Jets | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Harris Bay | 1.40 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Big Thicket | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Riken | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Inside Info | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Wardenofthenorth | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Microscope | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Stanhope | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Realm of Law | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fighting Force | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Chasing Fame | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Voter Protection | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Texas Basin | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kentucky Knight | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Explain | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Second of July | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sono Grato | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Family Biz | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Malibu Pro | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Allured | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Super Dude | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | American Lincoln | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Chief Know It All | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | The Sicarii | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 6 | Courted | 4.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Two Cent Tootsie | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Rosey’s Invasion | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | She So Naughty | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lucky Latkes | 5.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 14 | 12 | Eighty Seven North | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Running On Entry | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Sandra’s Mine | 12.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Central Capital | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | Tornado Crossing | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Little Red Button | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Queentigua | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Boston Girl | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Kept Waiting | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Princess Leiha | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Sophie Fatale | 50.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 5 | La Urbana | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | Violentiam | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Stay Home Mama | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Tami’s Orchid | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Photofinish Jeanne | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Shanes Pretty Lady | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | A Bit o’Irish Sass | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 14 | 12 | Blame It On Mary | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Wish for Magic | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Captivating Cara | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Vive La Liberty | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Flirtacious Kiss | 30.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Byhubbyhellomoney | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Secret Love | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Chilly Choos | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Dreams Still Wild | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Translate | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Zaccapa (FR) | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | All American Dream | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Yes to Mischief | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fly Fight Win | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Bastet | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Apurate | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Venus Oyzo | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jasminesque | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rapido Gatta | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Roma Carpe | 50.00 | 8.7 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Back Channel | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | French Reef (IRE) | 1.60 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Wild Medagliad’oro | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Chilly in Charge | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Fiya | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Cryogenic | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Duress | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jake Rocks | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Yes and Yes | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Binkster | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 7 | Olendon (FR) | 1.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Madeleine Must (FR) | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kreesie | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Lead Guitar | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Tiple (IRE) | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Kept True | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sister Sophia | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Slimey | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Glass Ceiling | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Catsoutofthebag | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Central Exit | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | She’s a Black Belt | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wicked Title | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Happy Sophia | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | La Negrita | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Classy Sadie | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gesture | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Super Cute | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Enough Love | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sarahrini | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 11 | 11 | She’s a Lumberjane | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.