September 18, 2020 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Society’s Tiger | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Blockbuster | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Nestleton Hush | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | San Nicola Brew | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Call It a Wrap | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Show Me Your Spots | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Aheadbyacentury | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jammin Still | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Bel Bimbo | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Thanks Again | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Lyrical Note | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Just Run With It | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Seemee | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Therealquaff | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Hesathriller | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Hythe | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Victor’s Destiny | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | D’s Ben | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Society’s Menace | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bullet Speed | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dealmaker | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Boldpasser | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Souper Deputy | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bartman | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Manny | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Togquos | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Giant Attraction | 4.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Skipys Legacy | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Marten River | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Bode’s Maker | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Letthebighossroll | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Canmore | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | The Boss Factor | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Gorgeous Kitten | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Glenville Gardens | 3.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Florida Won | 4.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Where’s Anthony | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Piccadilly Beau | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Desolator | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Frost Dance | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Asha Ironborn | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | A Little Voodoo | 2.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Benevida | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Glorious Gizmo | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Londonderry | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gizmo’s Princess | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | D’s Soul | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Silent Charity | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 10 | Showbiz Lady | 2.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Munnings Beach | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dont Get Smart | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Down With Brown | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | I’m a Ginger | 4.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Munch and Crunch | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Conquest Rapiduno | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Petite Amie | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Triple Sevens | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Onezy’s Dream | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Treasure Finder | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Not Orbinary | 2.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ami’s Link | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Spider Dance | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Piquet | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Biondetti’s Choice | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cape Mist | 12.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pluie d’Avril | 8.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bel Tempo | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Capoeira | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Blind Ambition | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Piven | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fact Checking | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Boreal Spirit | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dun Drum | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Reconfigure | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Souper Success | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Behave | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Animal Krackers | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Final Strike | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Creative Force | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | King of the Ring | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Stormy Egbert | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Red Astaire | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Prince Martheus | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Society Misfit | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Sweet Little Artie | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Give Me an Eye | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Secret Roi | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.