September 18, 2020 Prairie Meadows Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Apolitically Quick | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Little Bit of Hero | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Oilfired Up | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mr Corona Crystal | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ec Steele | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fosse | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | J S Valentino | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | A Third Rate Romance | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Louisiana Wagon | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Regal and Racy | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Pure Endzone | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lil Kool Runaway | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Painted Shell Drive | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Loaded Resume | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Quarterback Racy | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Kool Wave Runner | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Anuttafirstdowndash | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mea Fast Dash | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | One Famous Phoebe | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Azola Baban | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Df Fabulous Jo | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Girl Like You | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Pure Pappasito | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Two Swirl Earl | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Kays Wagon | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lil Kool Lips | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Day of Favor | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lil Shiny Wagon | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hawk Lion Stinker | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jess Lippy | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Kt Rapid Eyes | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ts Wave Goodbye | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | This Jess Can Dash | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Cool Catomine | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Downtowner | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Knight Disruptor | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Praetorian | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | I R the Duke | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Coal Truth | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kwik | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Prom Pretty | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sierra Summer | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Magic in a Hat | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Future Rocket | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sundays Fashion | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Credit Card Fraud | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wicked Chocolate | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Roomantics Cha Cha | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Butyoucalledme | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Little Slew | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mingo Magic | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Gradioactive | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sweet Kala | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fight On Penn | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Clearly Classy | 30.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jitters | 30.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sophia’s Dawn | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Tizamissile | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Sparkle O Mine | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Icy Dawn | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kinley Cash | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Close to Me | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Miss Photo | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fianna Hills | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Harper Bee | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Shweet Persuasion | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Iowa Native | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Caesartheruler | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Matchlock | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Woke Up in Love | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Itsallaboutyou | 5.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | York Road | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Bayouadrink | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | New Gospel | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kellen Cash | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Flat Out Freed | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | He’s a Big Dill | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fourdangshore | 15.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tequila | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Not This Again | 30.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Strikinggoldnugget | 30.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Philosopher | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Raise the Ransom | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.