Sports from the Basement

Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Friday, September 18, 2020

September 18, 2020 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Perspective 3.50 1.9 4-1
5 5 Zamfir 4.50 2 4-1
4 4 Worlds On High 6.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Silver Dollar City 5.00 2.8 5-1
10 10 Bastien Le Brown 3.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Emit 10.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 El Guapo 15.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Orula 12.00 5 9-1
8 8 Marvalous Mike 20.00 6.7 13-1
2 2 Alado 30.00 7.5 14-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 10 Awesome View 2.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Tantalizing Gal 4.50 4.3 8-1
12 11 Sister Is Devil 6.00 4.4 8-1
9 8 Okalani 8.00 4.7 9-1
6 5 Gold Country 5.00 4.8 9-1
8 7 Faith’s a Bluebird 10.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Time Sensitive 12.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 Workin Ecliptical 20.00 7.8 15-1
7 6 My Glory 20.00 8.5 16-1
10 9 V K Princess 30.00 8.8 17-1
5 5 Danessa Lady 30.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Tonala 30.00 10.6 20-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Aequor 1.40 2.1 4-1
7 7 Red Fog 5.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Doctor D J 6.00 3.2 6-1
8 8 St Joe Viper 3.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Quasar Moon 8.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Earthquake 15.00 6 11-1
5 5 Awesome Party 20.00 7.2 14-1
1 1 Machiavelli 20.00 7.8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Dexter Road 1.60 2 4-1
7 7 First and Three 1.40 2.5 5-1
8 8 Starship Aramis 5.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Long Gray Line 8.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Done Acting 12.00 4 8-1
4 4 Takedown 30.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 Gemologister 30.00 6.3 12-1
3 3 Papacho 30.00 6.7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Mijet 3.50 2.7 5-1
9 7 Extravagant Rosie 2.00 2.8 5-1
5 4 Afficionado (FR) 3.00 3.1 6-1
7 6 Glorious Gal 4.50 3.5 7-1
2 2 Galileos Ballerina 6.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Omnia 10.00 4.3 8-1
4 3 Marama 30.00 6.5 12-1
3 3 Etana 12.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Let’s Be Honest 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Speeding 2.50 2.2 4-1
10 9 Gladys 3.50 2.7 5-1
6 5 Strong Azteca 5.00 3.2 6-1
8 7 Mastering Bela 6.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Beyond Heavenly 10.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Toolegittoquit 12.00 5.1 10-1
9 8 Pens Street 15.00 5.8 11-1
7 6 Make a Scene 12.00 6.1 11-1
1 1 My Beauty Princess 20.00 8 15-1
4 4 Najwa 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 5 Sublime Appeal 5.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Getthe Muny Bernie 4.50 2.5 5-1
5 3 Go Gone Gone 3.50 2.7 5-1
10 6 Joyful Heart 6.00 3 6-1
6 4 Soldollie 8.00 4.6 9-1
4 2 Shoshone Brave 30.00 9.5 18-1
2 2 Ikeisgreat 8.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Gnarly 3.50 SCRATCH
8 8 Small Fortune 4.50 SCRATCH
9 9 Fully Loaded 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Areyoutalkingtome 3.50 2.2 4-1
5 5 Jamaican 3.00 2.4 4-1
1 1 Karen’s Cove 5.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Star Juancho 6.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Starship Apollo 2.50 3.5 7-1
9 8 Spa Jazz 15.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Transitive 20.00 6 11-1
6 6 Gettinintomischief 30.00 6.6 12-1
7 7 Smoke ‘n’ Gloat 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Ms. Melania 4.00 1.7 3-1
3 3 Yafa 2.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Silver Sky Smooth 5.00 2.4 5-1
12 12 Allie and Jazzy 8.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Maria’s Mirage 6.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Learnt 15.00 5.5 10-1
10 10 V K Star 15.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Backspark 20.00 6.4 12-1
4 4 The Rain Is Coming 20.00 7.4 14-1
9 9 Cape Elizabeth 20.00 7.4 14-1
7 7 Melanie’s Pride 30.00 8.7 16-1
5 5 Alaia Queen 30.00 9 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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