September 18, 2020 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Zainalarab | 1.60 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Exact | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jade Empress | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | White Frost | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Treasure Lane | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Boss Cara | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Me and Mr. C | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gravitas | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Zipalong | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Doubly Blessed | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Make a Stand | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pepper Pike | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | The Dr’s Slippers | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fevola | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Fried Rice King | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 7 | Ruvies in Time | 1.60 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hetty G. | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cape Cod Diva | 1.60 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gentle Annie | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Miss Liana | 4.50 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Appletini | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tiz a Kitten | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lookbothways | 12.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Miner’s Mark S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Rocketry | 1.20 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | You’re to Blame | 1.40 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Counter Offer | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Danny California | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Petit Fils (FR) | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Cross Keys | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Belleza | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Madam Deputy | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lottie’s Mizzion | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1A | 2 | Mebs Web | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bankers Beast | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Imprsstheprofessor | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Aggravation | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Empress Luciana | 15.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Flattering Eyes | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Honorable | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Space Launch | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Scarlett Sky | 1.60 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | McLovin | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lowcountry | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bunker Hill | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Crew Dragon | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ascending Moon | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Red Mule | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Threepointninenine | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Daring Disguise | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 9 | Our Troubadour | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Implied Volatility | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Big Wonder | 3.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Quintarelli | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Knight Frost | 50.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | David’s Gem | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Kilronan | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Bernin’ Thru Gold | 0.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | River Knight | 30.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Good Credence | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Fierce Lady | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Prairie Fire | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Jewel of Arabia | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Baby Boss | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Bustin Scones | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Letmetakethiscall | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Eye of a Soldier | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mary’s France (FR) | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Lashara (GB) | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Windfall Profit | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fetching | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Una Luna | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kelleycanrun | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Solitary Gem | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Selfmade | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Nero’s Fiddle | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Bricco | 2.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bielefeld | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Justintimeforwine | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | K. K. Ichikawa | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Sidd Finch | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Noble Mischief | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Kingfish | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Mr. Fidget | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | True Palace | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Open Lengths | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Supply Sider | 15.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Broadway Joe | 30.00 | 12.1 | 23-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Unbridled John | 30.00 | 12.6 | 24-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Unlikely | 30.00 | 13 | 24-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.