September 14, 2020 Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Heidi’s Wish | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Ballerina Kitten | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Ciao Luna | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Heather Hills | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Itsagimme’s Girl | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Barley Jack | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Tika | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Girl Drama | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Desert Image | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Northern Heart | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 3 | I’llmakeyousmile | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Memorize | 1.80 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Premium Motion | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Rattlesnakerose | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Enigmatica | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Tonka Flower | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Nashvegas | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Chess Master | 4.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Talented Son | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Boppin Anda Weavin | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sarasota Boy | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hollywood Overdogs | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Expect Drama | 15.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Spirited Beauty | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Adios Trippi | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cali Divine | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Guns Blazing | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Laobanonaprayer | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Joyful Jill | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Silver Street | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bodacious Blend | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | My Desdemona | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dragon Lily | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Torres Del Paine | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Methodical | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Regal Speaker | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Bold Trek | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Junior Bug | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cobalt Baron | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Guitar Tribute | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tolaga Bay | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Bickley | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Handsome Boy | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lexatoga | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Beavis | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Communication Fail | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Bribery | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Our Commish | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1A | 7 | The King Cheek | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Maid the Journey | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Jaime Jamel | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Seven Tricks | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 11 | No Regrets | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Tappahannock | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 13 | 10 | Zaya | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Calamity Kat | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Cade’s On the Bump | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Five Carat Cat | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Resident Liberal | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Barin | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Brooklyn Speights | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Kamehameha | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Maynooth | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mine to Hold | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Appraised | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Bayou Jam | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Passing Lane | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Golden Oak | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fine N Dandy | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Mr. Vecchio | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shanghai Chorus | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Rogue Rage | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lafitte’s Fleet | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | More Than Miles | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wicked Strong Alex | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Watchthebourbon | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Noble King | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.