September 13, 2020 Prairie Meadows Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Hollyhook | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Faster Than Hasta | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Holy Storm | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Edelman | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Going to Hollywood | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Flight to La Jolla | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Liberti | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Relentlessly Royal | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Faith Wagon | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Peves Moon River | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Relentless Streak | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lunas Flashy Jolla | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lucky Royal P | 8.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | El Oh El | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Jestagoodoldboy | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jess Wagon P | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kooler Wagon | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Damn Strait | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bp Fancy Alibi | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Unrelenting Smoke | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mighty Cute | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Relentless Concierge | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Girl Paint | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fdd Texas Tea | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | C Special Pyc | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | My Solid Return | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 4 | Sherwin | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Phillip Justin | 8.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | El Vale | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Jimmy’s Marco | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Country Love | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | The Lone Grainger | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dreamin of Glory | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Chitto | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Masterofmatrimony | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Vandring | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Applicant | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Chinlee | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tap the Brakes | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Alittlebitoflime | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Redneckerthanyou | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Nosbor | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Mafia Don | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Riding the Train | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ethan’s Fury | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cactus Rules | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Done Wondering | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Launch the Posse | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wilbur’s Runaway | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Come On Rico | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Bull Hollow | 1.80 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pirate Rick | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Limbo’s Promise | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Serbian Sailor | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Fake Solution | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Arlington’s Shine | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Smitty Can Do | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Flat Rock | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Grade One | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | D’ Rapper | 1.80 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Moto Moto | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Drena’s Star | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | League of Shadows | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fortified Effort | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Gotta Love Ike | 1.80 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Quana Dude | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Aleutian Harbour | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Drastic | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | R V T Thunder Road | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Last Bad Habit | 30.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Irish Charlie | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Martini Thursday | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.