September 7, 2020 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Next Revolt | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | My Journey | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bodega | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Speakerofthehouse | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Moonoverthebayou | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | See Through It | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | All I Can Say | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Georgian Road | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bam Bam Again | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Surprise Fashion | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Malibu Dreamin | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Keystone Field | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cem Sultan | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mickelson | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Defense Wins | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Witch’s Vow | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Invictatatus | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Most Sandisfactory | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Canadian Luck | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Union Soldier | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tarantino | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hot Rod Charlie | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Harlan Estate | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Heliochrome | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Quattroelle (IRE) | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Texas Playboy | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Gone Rogue | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Feel the Berning | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mount Pelliar | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Zoffa | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Papale | 15.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | Concur | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Around the Dial | 3.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | King Parker | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Awhitesportscoat | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Rick’s Dream | 4.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Country Road | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | More Honor | 8.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Black Storm | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Burn Me Twice | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Market Sentiment | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lucky Romano | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | D K’s Crown | 20.00 | 8.7 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Write Me a Song | 12.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Ferguson | 20.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 10 | Empress of Fire | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Pushing Sixty | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Lostintranzlation | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Kleen Karma | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Harper’s Gallop | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rose Dunn | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hot On the Trail | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Donut Girl | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Spanish Channel | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | On Mars | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Drop the Mic | 30.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | D’s Lovely Sophia | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Ensleys Dream | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Eddie’s New Dream | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Big Chick | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Big Stretch | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sensible Cat | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Wishtheyallcouldbe | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Sideways Suances | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sheila’s Charlie | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Here Comes Ralphie | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Complete Control | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Mamba Cool | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Luvluv | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | N. K. Rocket Man | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Fly Buddy Fly | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cal’s Gem | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Table for Ten | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Carmelita’s Man | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tropical Terror | 2.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Gee Gee Whiz | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | I Am Innocent | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Trevor T | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | River North | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Squalotoro | 20.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Happier | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Been Studying Her | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Golden Principal | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Paid Informant | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Magic At Midnight | 2.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Summer Love | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Shanghai Truffles | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Del Mar Juvenile Turf S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Get Her Number | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Rombauer | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Inner Ghost | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ambivalent | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Ebeko (IRE) | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Cotopaxi (IRE) | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Herd Immunity | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Big Fish | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | C’Mon Jenna | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Inner Beauty (IRE) | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Caisson | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Sonic Brees | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | None Above the Law | 30.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Runhappy Del Mar Futurity
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Spielberg | 2.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dixie’s Two Stents | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dr. Schivel | 1.60 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Scooby | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Weston | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dyn O Mite | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Colosi | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mithqaal | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fabozzi | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Shadow Sphinx | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Klondike Creek | 4.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Three Ay Em | 3.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Avalanche | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Move Over (GB) | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Conquest Cobra | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Paynter’s Boy | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | I’m Busy | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Erotic | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Pubilius Syrus | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | R Cha Cha | 30.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.