September 6, 2020 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
Try SFTB Plus for Free
$10 a Month Gets You Horse Racing Advanced Stats including an optimizer for each race.
Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Madame Barbarian | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Uno Trouble Maker | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Red Livy (IRE) | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Eternal Endeavour (GB) | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sweet Rafaela | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Crown Kitten | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Saints Paynter | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Meso | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sugary | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Clearly Gone | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tammy’s Window | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Seaside Dancer | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Kittyhawk Lass | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mongolian Window | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lexington Grace (IRE) | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Listen to Blue | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Bulletproof One | 1.60 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Road Rager | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lucky Peridot | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Quality Response | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Watch Me Burn | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Biddy Duke | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Cielo d’Oro | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Floral Essence | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Queen Ofthe Temple | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Peaky Blinder | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Consternation (IRE) | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Miss Ever Ready | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mamma Rama | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hatshepsut | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tiz Pure Grace | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Valentine Ghost | 30.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Derby Quest | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Chicks Dig Munny | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Nurturing | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Polished Lady | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Kenjilookslucky | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Leprino | 1.80 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 9 | Prince Ricky | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ammolite | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 4 | Tiger’s Song | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rossman | 8.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Time to Testify | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Babael | 3.50 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Humboldt | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 10 | Sharp Speaker | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Drink to That | 30.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Floyd Moneymaker | 15.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bullet Times | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Endless Tale | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Velvet Queen | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Woke Up to Aces | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Dolce | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Blue Sky Baby | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Miss Fraulein | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Greg’s Diva | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tijori | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Devils Dance | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jewel Thief | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Swirling | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Superman Shaq | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Risk and Reward | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tenor | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Parnelli | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Red Flag | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Labor Union | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hot Pastrami | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Runaway Wywy | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Del Mar Juvenile Fillies Turf S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Madone | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Ivy League | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Nimbostratus (FR) | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tetragonal (IRE) | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Inner Beauty (IRE) | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Canoodling | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Super Game | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Frazzled | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Basilia | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | My Princess Ellie | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Sweetest Angel | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Del Mar Debutante S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Princess Noor | 1.60 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Illumination | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Forest Caraway | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Get On the Bus | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | My Girl Red | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Roll Up Mo Money | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Del Mar Derby
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Pixelate | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | California Kook | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | K P All Systems Go | 6.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Kiss Today Goodbye | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Heywoods Beach | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kanderel | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Guitty (FR) | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Margot’s Boy | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Dominant Soul | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | American Farmer | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | No Slo Mo | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Warren’s Showtime | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Big Flame | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Big Story | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Alexander’s Dream | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lil Nas | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Suzie Qzz Brother | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Alpine Thunder | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gates of Heaven | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | J C Express | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Charge Cash | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Holy Palace | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Moving Fast | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Finding Silver | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | That Corey | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.