September 4, 2020 Saratoga Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Stakes) – Seeking The Ante S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Samborella | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rossa Veloce | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Summer Brew | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Make Mischief | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Infringement | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Queen Arella | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Saratoga Flash | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bohemian Ruby | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Judge N Jury | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Work Out | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Masked Marauder | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Skippingandajumpin | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Devious Mo | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Breaking Stones | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Re Created | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Production Credit | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Albany S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Chestertown | 1.20 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | City Man | 1.60 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | More Graytful | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Turbo Drive | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Sky of Hook | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Microsecond | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Martinez | 1.80 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Chrome Dixie | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Halpert | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Eight Weeks Long | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Step Dancer | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Arrowheart | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hurtgen Forest | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Pivotal Run | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Bustin Bieber | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Action Jackson | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | I’m Blaming You | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Mambonick | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Count Frost | 30.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Yaddo S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Classic Lady | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | War Canoe | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Wegetsdamunnys | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Myhartblongstodady | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Kreesie | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fifty Five | 1.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Espresso Shot | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 10 | Judge Alexander | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Saratoga Pal | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Advanced Strategy | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Tercero | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Papa Luke | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Moonshine Maker | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Raven Rocks | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | South Africa | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Whichwaytomalibu | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Victory Built | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Me ‘n Sap | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | The Revenger | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Funny Cide S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Lookin for Trouble | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Eagle Orb | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Effinity | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Thin White Duke | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Market Alert | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Hold the Salsa | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Alpha Chi Rho | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Windy Nations | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Astoria Kitten | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Light in the Sky | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Summer At the Spa | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Crescent Lady | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Morning Colors | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Jen | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Pandamom | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Drynachan | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Herwaze | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bella Rose | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Lem Me Have It | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 8 | Three Outlaws | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Freewheeler | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Uncle George | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Big Wonder | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Inside Info | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | More Like It | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Big Package | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kid d’Oro | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Luna’s in Charge | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Awesome Ammo | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13A | 13 | Ziller | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14B | 14 | Oh My Papa | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15B | 15 | Big Thicket | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Quintarelli | 50.00 | 12.3 | 23-1 | |
| 5A | 5 | Zelenka | 50.00 | 13.9 | 26-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Fleet Indian S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Critical Value | 1.60 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sharp Starr | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ice Princess | 2.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Makingcents | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Courageous Girl | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Playtone | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Micromillion | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – West Point S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Dot Matrix | 1.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Therapist | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gucci Factor | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rinaldi | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Blewitt | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Twisted Tom | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rapt | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Smite | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Boom Boom Kaboom | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Fluent in Sarcasm | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Freudian Analyst | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tempesta | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Being Me | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Shandian | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Frat | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Otter | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Inspector Henning | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Hay Lad | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Lady’s Boy | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Imperio D | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.