September 4, 2020 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Allie’s Pal | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bingos System | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Taming the Tigress | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Clubhouse Saint | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Daring Cat | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Commas Save Lives | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mo Brandi | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Coalinga Road | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Chipper | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Count Alexei | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | R Matineigh Idol | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | El Chapin | 30.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Master Ryan | 2.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Whispering Flame | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Paul L | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Square Root | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Tiz Toffee | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Easy Grader | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Winsinfashion | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Incredibly Lucky | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Give Me a Hint | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Flying Business | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sturdy One | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Just Grace | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Chay Up and Away | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Miz Tianjin | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Vangogo | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Second Avenue | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Miss Mozart | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | She B Salty | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | California Cool | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Lady On Ice | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Save the Story | 3.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | I’m So Adorable | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Fog Lifter | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | It’s a Riddle | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pete’s Inferno | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Freedom Flyer | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Commander Khai | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Refi Now | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Stratofortress | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ghoster | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Run Snappy | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Lochinvar (GER) | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Santos to Wilson | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mac Daddy Too | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Flactem Legacy | 30.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | K P Aim High | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Quick Finish | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Principe Carlo | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Pas de Panique | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rookie Mistake | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Abusive Gary | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Clayton Delaney | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lightning Fast | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Handsome Cat | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Awesome Drive | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | White Velvet | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lucia’s Design | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | A G Indy | 3.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sabinos Pride | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Breakfast Ball | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Little Bird (IRE) | 2.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Nocherylikemychery | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – I’m Smokin S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Tacoflavoredkisses | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Pappy Boyington | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Touchdown Brown | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Good With People | 4.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Alpine Thunder | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Jazz Hands | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Positivity | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Scooby | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Found My Ball | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Doc Adams | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Sweet Sonny | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Siena Silk | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mulligan | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Cover Version | 5.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | She Loves Karaoke | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Pomegranate | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Queen Stormborn | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bella Chica | 6.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Va Va Voom | 8.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Awesome Galaxy | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Charming Life | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Pioneer Woman | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Kaely’s Candy | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Chollima | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.