August 30, 2020 Saratoga Horse Racing Picks.
Try SFTB Plus for Free
$10 a Month Gets You Horse Racing Advanced Stats including an optimizer for each race.
Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 8 | Another Shot | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 5 | Panster | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Our Man Mike | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 6 | Half Right | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 2 | Dee Bo | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 4 | What’s My Category | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 7 | Declare Justice | 10.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 16 | 9 | Forty Two Ace | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Boss Bear | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Sam and Sy | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Dancing Buck | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Bellamy Dolce | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Data Deal | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Thin White Duke | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Vodka Lemonade | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 3 | Speedy Banker | 20.00 | 12.6 | 24-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Buona Fina | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fried Rice King | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Blood Moon | 0.60 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Super Wicked Charm | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Macho Boy | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | King of American | 30.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | No Mo’ Spending | 1.20 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Elusive Site | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rosey’s Peach | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Masu | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Chasing Cara | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | U Guys Are No Fun | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Blame It On Mary | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 4 | Mills | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Siding Spring | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Golden Decision | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Kumar | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 5 | Holiday Bonus | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 3A | 3 | Heavy Roller | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4A | 4 | Hieroglyphics | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Another | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Soglio | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Ian Glass | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Carbon Data | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Red Ghost | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 15 | 9 | Cease and Desist | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 13 | 8 | Split Then Double (GB) | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Conundrum Queen | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mun Luv | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Magical Soul | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 16A | 10 | Traffic Lane | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Perfection | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cashmere Queen | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Blue Kentucky Girl | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6A | 6 | Gambling Cat | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | So Enchanting | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Evvie Jets | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Gathered Flowers | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Herald Angel | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 7 | Fort Drum | 30.00 | 12.3 | 23-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 3 | Zonic | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Local Hero | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | O Shea Can U See | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Summer Bourbon | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Square Shooter | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Big Mountain | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Our Honor | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tale of Mist | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Lazarus Project | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Vicar’s Legend | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 8 | Blue Atlas | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Short Pour | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pecatonica | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Barrel of Destiny | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Dancingwthdaffodls | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Maiden Beauty | 10.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Lovely La La | 15.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Goodbye Brockley | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Good Credence | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Prairie Fire | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Awesome Alana | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Wait a Minute | 20.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Three Jokers | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gandy Dancing | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Riken | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Midnight Whiskey | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Harris Bay | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Inside Info | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Leap to Glory | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Flying Finish | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Number One Dillon | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bank Gala | 50.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Shuvee S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Nonna Madeline | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Golden Award | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Letruska | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Our Super Freak | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Royal Flag | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bellera | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lucky Move | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Another Broad | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lucky Stride | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Shirelle | 2.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Venerable | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Millean | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Modern Science (IRE) | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ready At Dawn | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sol Del Sur | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Safe Conduct | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | American Ruler | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cracker Box Palace | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Fire At Will | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | American Diamond | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Winfromwithin | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Officiating | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Rational Choice | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Savoy | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Command Central | 30.00 | 12.4 | 24-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.