August 30, 2020 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Rantanen | 1.40 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Grit City Kid | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Freerunning | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Foxborough | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Broken Finger | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mandrew | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Govenor Bernstein | 20.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Perfect Ice Storm | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Atina (ARG) | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Majestic Diva | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Midnight Garden | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Operatic | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Take a Leap | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lookout Taylor | 20.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Varda | 5.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | I’m the Boss of Me | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Heels Up | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Fracing Fast | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Queens Map | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Moonlight d’Oro | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Gravitron | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Brittle and Yoo | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sugar Pickel | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Fraulein | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Roses and Candy | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | With This Vow | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Queensbeccaandjane | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Acai | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dairy Kid | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Jungle Roar | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Question Authority | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Hollywood’s Best | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | With Due Cause | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Spud | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Colt Fiction | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Endless Tale | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Starship Chewbacca | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tengas Masterpiece | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Jack Cool | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Rip City | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Montana Moon | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | City Rage | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Strike It Lucky | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bud Knight | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tallien (IRE) | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mr Right Now | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Big Cheddar | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Terrible Ted | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Natural History | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Uncaptured Hero | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tribal War Chant | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Conte Cavour | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Nesbitt | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Etterbay Ucklay | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Next Flight | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Surfside Sunset | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Poise to Strike | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | U. S. Danger | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Most Sandisfactory | 3.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Robber Baron | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hot Socks | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Hoop Dream | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mr Show Off | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Air Jockey | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Papa’s Honey | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Ziyanair | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gee Gee Whiz | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Follow the Lute | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Devil Made Me Doit | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tilted Towers | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Cruel Intention | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Nero | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Brickyard Ride | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Silardi | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Seven Scents | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Thanks Mr. Eidson | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Shake N Fries | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Generous Portion S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | I’m So Anna | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Big Andy | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Governor Goteven | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Emma’s Dance | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Do You Hear That | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mucha Woman | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Will Take a Kiss | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Ya Beauty (GB) | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wind and Hope | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Via Angelica | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Addie Pray | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Acoustic Shadow | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Nurse Goodbody | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Viazar | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Vegas Palm | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Disappearing Act | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Awesome Ella | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Frose | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Red Diamond | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.