August 29, 2020 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Man Friday | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Antigravity | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Waspirant | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ambivalent | 1.60 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Scary Larry | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bolu | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Secret Touch | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kylemore | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Winning Element | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wilshire Dude | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | King Eddie | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Nowhere Man | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Hello Bubbles | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Zucchera | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Star of Africa | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Freedom Lass | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mela Jones | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Goodtingscominpink | 4.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Soothing | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Cajun Treasure | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Blame It On Kitty | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Polar Wind | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | The Stiff | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dr. Troutman | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Howbeit | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Fierce for Sul | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Transporter | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Chitu Me Too | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lilypop | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Shes’a Perfectlady | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cherry City | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Her Legacy | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Predictable Tully (IRE) | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Le Tub | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | I’ll Do It for You | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Queen Stormborn | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Vittorio | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Go On | 3.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Petruchio | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Drivehappy | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Honorary Degree | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Belmont Bill | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Avenue de France (FR) | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Beguiled | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Going to Vegas | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Over Attracted | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Croughavouke (IRE) | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Big Sweep | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fashion Royalty (GB) | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Mind Out | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Champagneonme | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Microrithms | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fight On | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Desert Law | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tiger Dad | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Surfing Star | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Little Juanito | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | McKale | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Gregorian Chant (GB) | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Border Town | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | One Bad Boy | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Order and Law | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Brandothebartender | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | King of Speed | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Route Six Six | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Untamed Domain | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Kazan (IRE) | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Lincoln City | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Maestro Dearte | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Fly to Mars | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Pat O’brien S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | C Z Rocket | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Giant Expectations | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | P R Radio Star | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Flagstaff | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Law Abidin Citizen | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Manhattan Up | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Blameitonthelaw | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Vertical Threat | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Blackout (FR) | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Truth Seeker | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Alleva | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Facts Matter | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Combat Zone | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Jan’s Reserve | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pure Comedy | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Restoring Dreams | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Call You Tomorrow | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ultimate Bango | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.