August 29, 2020 Arlington Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Sloaner | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Stolen Glance | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Columbia Clipper | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Henrys Girl | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | No Passing Zone | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ashleysdream | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Hero’s Jewel | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sundance Chick | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 2 | Wake Up Joe | 1.60 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Jive Daddy | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Romeo O Romeo | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Boston Charley | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Moonlight Mischief | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | He’s Dann Good | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Drama Star | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Easter Music | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Dumbmark | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Come On Dover | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Striking Heir | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | V Man | 6.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Willow Ridge | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Go for Sherrie | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tres Generaciones | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Haunted Mesa | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Syrup | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Congrats Given | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Maximus Image | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tio Chuy | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Summer Castle | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Creative Courage | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Crow Moon | 1.60 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Half of Manhattan | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dragunov | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Forgot to Forget | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gliding Alone | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fleetway | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Aimara | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bow Down Tewmey | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Wildwood Maggie | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Unburnt | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Better Angels | 4.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Speak English | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Holycow Shes Fancy | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Po Dunk | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lilys From Paris | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Teletap | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Last Spring | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Stonetown Boy | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Farmer Joe | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Bold Attack | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Tornado Boy | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Grand Little Man | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Kapcori Road | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Red Prince | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Prudent Hero | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ihadadream | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Glamour Gal | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Offspring | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Bye Bye Bully’s | 5.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Trivial | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Coldwater | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Magically Honored | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Summer Day | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Princess Cora | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Windy City Girl | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Eye On the Finish | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | War Chest | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Clear N Convincing | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Stock Trade | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Battle Creek | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Exprompt (FR) | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Merlin’s Song | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | River Cactus | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | English Challenge | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Ruffolo | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | And Won | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.