August 26, 2020 Saratoga Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 1 | A Silent Player (IRE) | 1.40 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 6A | 6 | French Light (FR) | 1.40 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Prayer Hope | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Brianbakescookies | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Critical Data (IRE) | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tomgarrow (IRE) | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gaye Breeze (IRE) | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Munnings Muse | 1.20 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Impazible Donna | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bankers Daughter | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Snicket | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bella Domenica | 8.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Eli Rocks | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Cap de Creus | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Coilean Bawn | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Quiet Dignity | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Whatdoesasharksay | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Setting the Mood | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Dash to the Top | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Who Knows What | 5.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Joqular | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Dressy | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Katies Courage | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Bold Article | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Krubera | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Tiz Splendid News | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Checksandbalances (IRE) | 1.60 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Kitten’s Romance | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dipping In | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cherokee Song | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | We Five | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hard Won | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Karley O | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Giggle Factory | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Canarsie Girl | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Assume | 1.20 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | She’s a Black Belt | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Charlotte Webley | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Lady Macho | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Classy Sadie | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Left Leaning Lucy | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Grudge | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Mahony S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Jack and Noah (FR) | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Maven | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Flap Jack | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Old Chestnut | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Buy Land and See | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Island Commish | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Competitive Saint | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Power Up Paynter | 30.00 | 8.7 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cajun Casanova | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Turned Aside | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Sky of Hook | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Blowout (GB) | 1.80 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Catch a Bid | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sweet Bye and Bye | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Clara Peeters (GB) | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Atomic Blonde | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Joy Epifora (ARG) | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Molto Bella | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fullness of Life (IRE) | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Admaa | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Let Them Eat Cake | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Thrill | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | American Goddess | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bastet | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bombshell (IRE) | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ballerina Showgirl (GB) | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Madam Maclean | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Arch of Fire | 30.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dial Me Up | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Venus Oyzo | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Back Channel | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.