August 23, 2020 Saratoga Horse Racing Picks.
Try SFTB Plus for Free
$10 a Month Gets You Horse Racing Advanced Stats including an optimizer for each race.
Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Black Sand (GB) | 1.60 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Uptown Flirt | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Community Adjusted | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Brynbella | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Caldee | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Simply the Best | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Peachy Queen | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Wicksters Dream | 2.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Mission Wrapitup | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Mr. Shortandsimple | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Scoring | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Uncork the Bottle | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Victory Boulevard | 6.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 4A | 3 | Ryan’s Cat | 8.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 1A | 1 | Justin Front | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 3 | Fifth Risk | 1.80 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Suspended Campaign | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Jade Empress | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Baba | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Iaintfraidanoghost | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | American West | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | No Salt | 0.60 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Supply Sider | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Black Irish | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bielefeld | 10.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | False Alarm | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Broadway Joe | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Storm Alfeet | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Parson | 30.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Too Early | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cold Hard Cash | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Six Percent | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dancers for Token | 5.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Unrelenting Force | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Quiet Out East | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | High Command | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Silent Empress | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Mia Bea Star | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Towering Gaze | 1.20 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | High School Crush | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Peerless | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Keypit | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Molly’s Shrink | 50.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Princess Leiha | 50.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Madam Deputy | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Mount Travers | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Home Run Maker | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lone Rock | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Free Enterprise | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pete’s Play Call | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Big Engine | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Giuseppe the Great | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Diana S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Rushing Fall | 1.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Mean Mary | 3.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Starship Jubilee | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Call Me Love (GB) | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Sistercharlie (IRE) | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Secret Message | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Allied Invasion | 1.60 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ringgood | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Aintitfunkynow | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Nero’s Fiddle | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Z’finale | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Unbridled John | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Otter | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Have a Heart | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.