August 23, 2020 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Dehydration | 1.40 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | High On Gin | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Happy Trails | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Important | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Don’t Stop Lookin | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Street Flyer | 12.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Querelle | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Holly Hundy | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Great Return | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Watch Me Burn | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Eclair | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gypsy Blu | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lucky Peridot | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fantasy Heat | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | As Time Goes By | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Acting Out | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | La V. | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Classy Ruler | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | England’s Rose | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Flat Out Joy | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tico Time | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 10 | Dolci | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Into Victory | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Daddytellsastory | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | True Mischief | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Midnight Jamboree | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Mountain Pass | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Cameo Shores | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Sapphire Silk | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Gotta Be Lucky | 3.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Miracle Miler | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fog Lifter | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Turkish Angel | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Caught in a Trappe | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Gypsy Spirit (GB) | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Muchly (GB) | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Gallovie (GB) | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Kookie Gal | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hollywood Girl | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Aunt Lubie | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Sassyserb | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Prima Valentina | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sicilia (GB) | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Mayan Warrior | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | More Honor | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Outlaw | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Vander Kelen | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Around the Dial | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | I Belong to Becky | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hydrogen | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Implicitly | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Awhitesportscoat | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Hootie | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Worthy Turk | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Southern King | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Holy Ghost | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | French Getaway | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Paynter’s Boy | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Camino de Estrella | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Swamp Souffle | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Acker | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Synthesis | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Ensleys Dream | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Needless to Say | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Squared Shady | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Maddie’s Mojito | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dylans Wild Cat | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Smoothlikebuttah | 3.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Careless Star | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Daisy Field | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Here Comes Ralphie | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Koko’s Mom | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Miss Glorious | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Del Mar Mile H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Royal Ship (BRZ) | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Galilean | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mo Forza | 3.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Overdue | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Kiwi’s Dream (AUS) | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bombard | 10.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Restrainedvengence | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dreams of Valor | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Bob and Jackie | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | The Black Album (FR) | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Sharp Samurai | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Jamming Eddy | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Julius | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | St. Joe Bay | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Appreciated | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Drop the Chalupa | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Heartfullofstars | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Big Scott Daddy | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Express Train | 3.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Littlebitamedal | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Shane Zain | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Oil Can Knight | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Oakland Mills | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Huge Bigly | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tembo | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Quicker | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Notre Dame | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Exeter | 3.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Summer Fun | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Silent Musketier | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Jack Sprout | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Perseverance | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Newell | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | K P D Day | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Palace Prince | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Mr. Clutch | 20.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ultimate Mystery | 20.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.