August 22, 2020 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Princess Noor | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Flash Magic | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Peachtree Road | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Frosted Blue | 10.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Avisse | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shanghai Groove | 6.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lady Mo | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Li’l Grazen | 1.60 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Square Peggy | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Noor Khan | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Anna Fantastic | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Unchain Her Heart | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Loud Loud Music | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Wandering Patrol | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Green Flash H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Chaos Theory | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mesut | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sparky Ville | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Irish Heatwave | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Baja Sur | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Mikes Tiznow | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Torosay | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Thanks Mr. Eidson | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Torrey Pines S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Harvest Moon | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Paige Anne | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Provocation | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Aurelia Garland | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Secret Keeper | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sheza Girly Girl | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Merneith | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Johan Zoffani (IRE) | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Absolute Unit | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 14 | 12 | Algeria (IRE) | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Comradery (IRE) | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Lane Way | 2.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Seven Charms | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Divine Armor | 5.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Midnight Luck | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Frasard (GB) | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fire Polish | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Western Smoke | 30.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Form A Square (GB) | 30.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | War Path | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Winning Prospect | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Fratelli | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | All I Can Say | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Square Deal | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Rogallo | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Baby Gronk | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Taco Waco | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Surprise Fashion | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Ju Ju Guy | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Shinny | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Doheny Beach | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Shanghai Curly | 30.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bam Bam Again | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | See Through It | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Include the Tax | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Del Mar H. Presented By The Japan Racing Association
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Oscar Dominguez (IRE) | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Combatant | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Red King | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | United | 1.60 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Originaire (IRE) | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Big Buzz | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ward ‘n Jerry | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 11 | 11 | North County Guy | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Proud Pedro (FR) | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Another Mystery | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | New Year | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Potantico | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Extra Hope | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Kershaw | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Loud Mouth | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Take the One O One | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Unbroken Star | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Respect the Hustle | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | El Tigre Terrible | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Del Mar Oaks
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Miss Extra (FR) | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Neige Blanche (FR) | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Guitty (FR) | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Laura’s Light | 3.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Aqua Seaform Shame | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | California Kook | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Warren’s Showtime | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Red Lark (IRE) | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Parkour | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Carpe Vinum | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Trickle In | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Tvg Pacific Classic S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Higher Power | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Midcourt | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Maximum Security | 1.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dark Vader | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sharp Samurai | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mirinaque (ARG) | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Salvator Mundi | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Shadow Sphinx | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Colosi | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tiberius Mercurius | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | M Town Gem | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Desmond Doss | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ostini | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Three Ay Em | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Kneedeepinsnow | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Navy Armed Guard | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Of Good Report | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bold Endeavor | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Southern King | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.