August 22, 2020 Arlington Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Sense of Self | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Truly’s Spirit | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Laura Attack | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | My Sweet Paynter | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ozette | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Better Than Pearls | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Well Hello You | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ashleysdream | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Unscathed | 1.40 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Suprise Cat | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Our Thomas | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Girlolamo’glory | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Demand Ransom | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Keep Attacking | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Megan’s Honor | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Orcus | 1.40 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rich E Z | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Call the Colonel | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Justenufftuff | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Colombard | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Magic Musketier | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Golden Gift | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fort Dixie | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Dive Deep | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Vincent William | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Living Vicariously | 4.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Mr. Tip | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wild Wes | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Red Hot Devil | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lykan | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Tre Lee Divine | 1.60 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Citali | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mr D’s Way | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Timingiseverything | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Gentleman Richie | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Workingforaliving | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bear Trappe | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shobiz Star | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Antalya | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Peace Love Bread | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Northern Alliance | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Launch Away | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sundereya | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Have the Facts | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Showit | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jukebox Money | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Dirt Road Princess | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Little Snip | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Juju’s Specialgirl | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Delicious Pursuit | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Moon Over Cabo | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Honey Mug | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Willow Moon | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tiz Trish | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | No Cacha Na (CHI) | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tizaladybug | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sweet Prayers | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Belle Brezing | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Do With Pride | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | First Masamune | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Dollar Blue | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Readthecliffnotes | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Scarlet City | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Bunster | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Angelino | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Mias Moonbeam | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Fade Away | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Antrim’s Giant | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Penalty Shot | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | And Won | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.