August 20, 2020 Saratoga Horse Racing Picks.
Try SFTB Plus for Free
$10 a Month Gets You Horse Racing Advanced Stats including an optimizer for each race.
Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Stakes) – New York Turf Writers Cup H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Moscato (GB) | 1.20 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Redicean (GB) | 10.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Optimus Prime (FR) | 1.80 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Gibralfaro (IRE) | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rashaan (IRE) | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pravalaguna (FR) | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Belisarius (IRE) | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Zanjabeel (GB) | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Simply Sweet | 1.60 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Thankful | 1.80 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pago Querido | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Heavenly Sis | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tonal Verse | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Empire Lady | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Awesome Alana | 1.60 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | First Appeal | 1.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Out of Trouble | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Miss Jen | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cotton Candy Cutie | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Goodbye Brockley | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Threepointninenine | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Boom Boom Kaboom | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Disciplanarian | 1.80 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Freudian Analyst | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Yousaidhello | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lorcan | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Whats in It for Me | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jet for Andy | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Sirenic | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Leaveuwithasmile | 1.60 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Persian Queen | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Customerexperience | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mosienko | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lake Chicot | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Grey Jazmine | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Touch of Nirvana | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Big Wonder | 1.60 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Jack of Clubs | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Red Mule | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3A | 3 | Go Rudy Go | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Future Book | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wild William | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | No More Miracles | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Linns Boy | 50.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 5A | 5 | Oh My Papa | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Tale Of The Cat S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | My Boy Tate | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | T Loves a Fight | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Stan the Man | 1.40 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Binkster | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ready to Escape | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Lead Guitar | 1.20 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Speightstown Gal | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fetching | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | The Important One | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Elegant Zip | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Quality Stones | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Merlins Muse | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 3 | Eye Luv Lulu | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Just Right | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dark Money | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Foolish Ghost | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Bronx Bomber | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Wushu Warrior | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | We Should Talk | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Manifest Destiny | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Joe’s Smokin Gun | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.