August 20, 2020 Arlington Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Pickford | 1.40 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Silver Quarters | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Landofthepharaohs | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Moon Over Montana | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Conative | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | J W Ruckus | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Freakin Joe | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Magi | 1.60 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Crankshaft | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Prudent Hero | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sequins Storm | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tsali | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Red Prince | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Lesley’s Song | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Point Streak | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | New Rules | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Fifthatnarraganset | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Meeka | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Looktheotherway | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ghaaleb the Great | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tiz Hoppin | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Half of Manhattan | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cadet Captain | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dragunov | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | True Loyalty | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | River Evangelist | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Moonlight Mischief | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Allegiance | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gliding Alone | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 4 | Tightrope | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Temper Tantrum | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Harbor Boy | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Youawakemysoul | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 5 | Wise Khozan | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sunshine Line | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Bravo Bravo | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Quick Tempo | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mkar the Fast | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Backside Beauty | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Palace Duchess | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Rank and File | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tango City | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Creal Dreamer | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bezel Set | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | April’s Gem | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Twelve Red Roses | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Miracle Mountain | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Behind Enemy Lines | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Gold Hawk | 1.40 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hide the Evidence | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Dreaming of Frank | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fort Dixie | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 7 | Pistol Box | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Ahoymycaptain | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Zanforce | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Good Mongolia | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Straight Up Smarty | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Lucky At Justice | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Chlobee | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Cholla | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Real de Jalpa | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Wildwood Scat | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kara’s Angel | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Maria Rose | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.