August 15, 2020 Arlington Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Hollee Peach | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kingsbury Dream | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tannah’blu | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Paulette | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Chainmail | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Enchilada | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Midnight Blue Note | 1.40 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Here Comes Kyle | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Stormin El Prado | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Supermans Cape | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Iwillpersevere | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dark Ninja | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bank Man | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Rule Follower | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Grandal | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Grandmas Favorite | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Charliecando | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Land Mark Deal | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Suspiros | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Coco Bravado | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Special Pryce | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Shanghai Point | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lee’s Luck | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Do Not Enter | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | I Am too Wild | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Riv | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gorgeous George | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Christmas Cookie | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Nyoman | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Be Authentic | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Laverns Lass | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Easy Eyes | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hook Her Up | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Talk Nice | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Broadway Duchess | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Bella Linda | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Logi | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Victory Rose | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hold the Spending | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Be an Inspiration | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Foggy Albion | 1.60 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bee Happy Attack | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fast One | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Narration | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Off to the Beach | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Messed Up | 20.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Rocket Ride | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Enzoexpress | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Andreas | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Warriors Gem | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Deano | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tetsu | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Z U Soon | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Follow the Signs | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tornado Boy | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Easter Music | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Jeggyjeggy | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Grey Mask | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Striking Heir | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Maximizer | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | High Hero | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | J Z’s Last Try | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | V Man | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Tio Chuy | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | W W Kan Do | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.