August 14, 2020 Saratoga Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Spanish Peaks | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Ain’t None Lucky | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Wishes and Dreams | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Flashing Red | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Tetrahydro | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Tuck In | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tesorina | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Stop War | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Notorious R B G | 1.40 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Brass Ring | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Tiple (IRE) | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Henni Penny | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Wicked Amber | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Palomita | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Carrizo | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Desbordes | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Mosienko | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Makin’ Out | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Persian Queen | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Movie Score | 8.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Party in the Sand | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Ok Honey | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hetty G. | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Perfect Sting S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Altea (FR) | 1.80 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cafe Americano | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Secret Message | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Feel Glorious (GB) | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Chaleur (GB) | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Piedi Bianchi | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Another Broad | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Its a Wrap | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ahead of Plan | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | New Frontier | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Betts | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sir Chubby | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Officer Country | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Golden Oak | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Colloquist | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Point of Humor | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Camouflaged Kisser | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6A | 4 | Clench | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Life in Shambles | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Coltandmississippi | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Shamrocked | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Malibu Pro | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Family Biz | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | California Night | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Thousand Percent | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Topper T | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4A | 4 | Eye Luv Lulu | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8A | 7 | Onthewaytonevrland (IRE) | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Fig Jelly | 1.60 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Variant Perception | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1A | 1 | No Bang No Boom (IRE) | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Empire Line (IRE) | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Bourbon Currency | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Tenure | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Hurricane Hill | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Elenzee | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Hay Boy | 30.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wonder In | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Tale of the Union | 1.60 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Thorny Tale | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Runaway Lute | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Leaky Cup | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Kazmania | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Special Story | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Sky of Hook | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kosciuszko | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12A | 10 | Value Engineering | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mr. Alec | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Current | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Conviction Trade | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Bundibunan | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Petit Fils (FR) | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Argonne | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Empty Tomb | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Can’thelpbelieving (IRE) | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 4A | 4 | Voting Control | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Noble Thought | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Blewitt | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Sea Foam | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Say the Word | 30.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Unicorn Sally | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Courted | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Running On Entry | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lucky Latkes | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Afleeting Glance | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rosey’s Invasion | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Mopolka | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tonilee | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Saratoga Lullaby | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Central Capital | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cemetery V I P | 30.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lady Teuflesberg | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Hey It’s Tati | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Renninas Rose | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Brovia | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Big Al’s Gal | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.