August 13, 2020 Saratoga Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Handicap)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9A | 9 | Must See The Doc (GB) | 1.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5A | 5 | Elucidation (IRE) | 1.80 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Iranistan | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | New Member (IRE) | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Show Court (IRE) | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cracker Factory (GB) | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | No Wunder (GB) | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Maccabee | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mutasaawy | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Malibu Luna | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lutescoot N Boogie | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Boss Bear | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Safe Conduct | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Command Central | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Nutsie | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bustin Shuffle | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Stretch the Truth | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 5 | Turf War | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1A | 1 | Olendon (FR) | 1.80 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Lost Ticket | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4B | 3 | Kitten’s Covergirl | 5.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Xanthique | 8.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Originator | 8.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bertranda | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5A | 5 | Fair Regis | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Liza Star | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10B | 10 | Jump for Joy | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Palace Avenger | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Grit and Glory | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | First Rate | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Heirloom Kitten | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Blood Moon | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bobbyfromthepalm | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Naughty Prince | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Robin Sparkles | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Dream Chasing | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | She So Naughty | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | New York Supreme | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Frenchie Frou Frou | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Big Red Girl | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Bonus Baby | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Prairie Tales | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Vinda Machine | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tuck In | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Hey It’s Tati | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Madam Deputy | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Smokin Hot Kiss | 30.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Off Topic | 1.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Risky Mandate | 1.20 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Foxtail | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Indy Union | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Marissa | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Thin White Duke | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | I’m Blaming You | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Chulainn | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Daggerboard | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | It’s a Gamble | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Chargemydinner | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Strong Desire | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tom’s Choice | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Danzigwiththestars | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bustin Bieber | 30.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 11A | 11 | Eagle Orb | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12A | 12 | Let’s Workout | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Mandate | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Bray | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Quiet Out East | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Mitzrayim | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Operative | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | The Sinner Is You | 15.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Turn of Events | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Battalion | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Union Avenue H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Carrera Cat | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Newly Minted | 1.40 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mrs. Orb | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ratajkowski | 1.20 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Collegeville Girl | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Forever Changed | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Data Analytics | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Chocolate Cookie | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Two Cent Tootsie | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Vivazano | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dancing Kiki | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Pure Bode | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Masterof the Tunes | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Sainte Mere Eglise | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Favorite Impulse | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Portofina | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Tabula Rasa | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lemoncella | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Gaelic Gold | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Renninas Rose | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Kilkea | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.