August 9, 2020 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Risen Lady | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Pretty Saylee | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Take Her Temp | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Afleet Diva | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Warren’s Memorable | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Smooth Rithms | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Vanna | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Grigoro | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Best Lady | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Mecklenburg (IRE) | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Heywoods Beach | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Eastern Ocean | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tripoli | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ekklesia | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Race Home | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Coalinga Hills | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Easy Grader | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Speedy Gigi | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Come On Kat | 3.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mama’s Kid | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Winsinfashion | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Incredibly Lucky | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Miz Tianjin | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Naughty Sophie | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Luxury Liner | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pawnee | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Big Dress | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Warrens Candy Girl | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Super Game | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Where’s Frankie | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Big Moon | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Miss Ever Ready | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Complete Control | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | No Name Fred | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Handsome Cat | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Claim of Passion | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Rookie Mistake | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Wild Bean | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | King Eddie | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Antithetical | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tejon | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Luvluv | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hammering Lemon | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tropical Terror | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kaline | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Count Alexei | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Gambini | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Table for Ten | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Kingofjesters | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Carmelita’s Man | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Me Macho | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | With This Vow | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Malibu Cat | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Fraulein | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mucho Macho Woman | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sheza Girly Girl | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Morning Addiction | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Trouville | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Tribalist | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Distant Vista (IRE) | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Strongconstitution | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Torosay | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Capture the Sea | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ginobili | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lionite | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Psycho Dar | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Castle Gate | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Camby | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Red Valor | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mike Operator | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Abusive Gary | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Botero | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Self Taught | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Unleash the Tiger | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jen Go Unchained | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – La Jolla H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Storm the Court | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Smooth Like Strait | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Azul Coast | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Indian Peak | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | K P All Systems Go | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kanderel | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ajourneytofreedom | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | I’m Leaving You | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | Street Behavior | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Next Revolt | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Leprino | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Prince Ricky | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Qaabil | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hungarian Storm | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Veinstrike | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ammolite | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Four O’Five | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jay Boy | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bigfoot City | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Do Not Swipe Left | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Hot Socks | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Jack Cool | 20.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.