August 8, 2020 Saratoga Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Doswell | 1.80 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bay Street Money | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Compliant | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | The Angry Man | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7B | 6 | High Tide | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4A | 4 | Glynn County | 8.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 5A | 5 | Chocolate Bar | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8B | 8 | Gunman | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4A | 3 | Musical Heart | 1.40 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Shalako | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Creative Style | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Hammerin Aamer | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | American Lincoln | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Eden Ridge | 30.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 2A | 2 | Lil Commissioner | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Light in the Sky | 1.20 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Graetz | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Violent Point | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ava K’s Girl | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Risky Mischief | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Canarsie Angel | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Drynachan | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mz Seb Pat | 30.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Appletini | 30.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dragoness | 30.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Vevey | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Saratoga Love | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Strongerthanuknow | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 3 | Hieroglyphics | 1.40 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Golden Spear | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Bootlegger (FR) | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Siding Spring | 5.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Field of Courage | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Holiday Bonus | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Honorable Hero | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 3A | 3 | Coltandmississippi | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Street Trust | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | California Night | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11A | 11 | Brush Country | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Mutasaabeq | 1.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bottle Rocket Man | 2.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Guana Cay | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shackleford Strong | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Raise the Rent | 10.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | American Gentleman | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | The Best Distance | 50.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Secret Potion | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pivotal Mission | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hidden Enemy (IRE) | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | American Monarch | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mystical Man | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Incitatus | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Fire At Will | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Esperanto | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hilliard | 30.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Free Spirit | 30.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Restored Order | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Repo Rocks | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Ballerina S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Bellafina | 1.80 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Serengeti Empress | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Come Dancing | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Letruska | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pink Sands | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Victim of Love | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cookie Dough | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Troy S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Shekky Shebaz | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pure Sensation | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Imprimis | 1.60 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Chewing Gum | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | American Sailor | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pulsate | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lonhtwist | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Waya S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | My Sister Nat (FR) | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Olympic Games (FR) | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mrs. Sippy | 1.20 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Fools Gold | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Beau Belle | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Quiet Dignity | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Another Broad | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Longines Test S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Gamine | 0.60 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Venetian Harbor | 1.60 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mrs. Danvers | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Up in Smoke | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Perfect Alibi | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wicked Whisper | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Runhappy Travers S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Country Grammer | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Uncle Chuck | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Tiz the Law | 1.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Max Player | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Caracaro | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | South Bend | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Shivaree | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | First Line | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Monificent | 3.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Blitchton Lady | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bankers Beast | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sweet Sneak | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Misty Taste | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Love That Face | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bella Domenica | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tiny Magoo | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Steppin’ Hawk | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.