August 8, 2020 Arlington Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Luscious | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shez Stuck Up | 0.60 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bobbie too Too | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Present of Hero | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Emmastwinklingstar | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hero’s Jewel | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | High On Sugar | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Giacallure | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | McHenry | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shanghai Point | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Big Money Machine | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Magic Musketier | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ahoymycaptain | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Teletap | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Chipollino | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Jimmy At Last | 1.20 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | The First Hero | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Sequins Storm | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Tres Generaciones | 5.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Dark Wood (IRE) | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Jungle Juice (IRE) | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Windracer (IRE) | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Fifthatnarraganset | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Holly Go Lightly | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Trivial | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Glamour Gal | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lady Brexit | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Romantic Attack | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Breakers Point | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Link to Destiny | 1.40 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gobarrybarry | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bourbon Tan | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tuff Attack | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Greenspan | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Jeggyjeggy | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 5 | Come On Dover | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | V Man | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Homer | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Enzoexpress | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Haunted Mesa | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Fort Ramsey | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Charles T | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Charlie Irish | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | She’s Honorable | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | East of Eden (IRE) | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Positive Danger | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Good News | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Seven Seventeen | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Tizaladybug | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Artistic Jewler | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Better Than Pearls | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Hot Pepper Suzie | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Willow Moon | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Placati | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Chrome Attack | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Summer’s Winner | 3.50 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Guest in My Heart | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Fort Marsh | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | White Lies | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Sister Ruler | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Sweet Prayers | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Lipliner | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.