August 7, 2020 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Avalanche | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dr. Troutman | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Liberal (IRE) | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Shadrack | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Scarto | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Suances Secret | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Worthy Turk | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Tiz a Unicorn | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kaely’s Candy | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lady On Ice | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Miss Alegria | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Katsaros | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Saving Sophie | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | California Cool | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Quiet Secretary | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Queen Stormborn | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Full Draw | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Awesome Score | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Veteran | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Colt Fiction | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Candy Shopper | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Babael | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Papa’s Honey | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hoop Dream | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lucky Ryan Seven | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Tinsel Town Queen | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Madame Barbarian | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sweet Rafaela | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Busy Paynter | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sturdy One | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Uno Trouble Maker | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Crown Kitten | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Twirling Devon | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Italiano | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Blackout (FR) | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Seven Scents | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Nero | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Smokin Blackjack | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | He’s Like Violence | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Honeymoonz Over | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Truth Seeker | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Reedley | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Portando | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Mr. Pickles | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Tripple Shake | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Doghouse | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Exhalting | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Tactical Attack | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 6 | Freerunning | 12.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | By Moonlight | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Foxborough | 5.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Give Em Heck Beck | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bordeaux Red | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Falcons Fury | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Rise Up Moscow | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Danceformunny | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Zucchera | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mela Jones | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Freedom Lass | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Solitaire | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lavender (IRE) | 3.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Queensbeccaandjane | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Goodtingscominpink | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Y Not Sizzle | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Blazing Charm | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Sorrento S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | My Girl Red | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Scaterra | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | September Secret | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Get On the Bus | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Scat’s Choice | 8.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Exchange Vows | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Trip to Seoul | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | That’s Amare | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Miss Carousel | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Leggs Galore | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lets Get Wild | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Va Va Voom | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ketchup | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Big Minx | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Alice Marble | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.