August 7, 2020 Arlington Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Lapis Storm | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Kenai Cool | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Probably Grace | 1.60 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rejoice an Be Glad | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Angel’s Run | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | McKinli’sbabyblues | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Ed’s Rocket | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sunny’s Storm | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Gorgeous George | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Long Station | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Power Cry | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Riv | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Our Thomas | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Claudia Jean (IRE) | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Summer Day | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Titan’s Treasure | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Mom’s Red Lipstick | 1.60 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Magically Honored | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tiz Susan Ann | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Invisible War | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | The Right Stuff (GB) | 1.40 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Payster | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Dewy’s Hit | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Barrister Tom | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Phraseologism | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Citadel | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | U S Delta Force | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ekaterinoslav | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Merlin’s Song | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Violator | 5.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mister Charming | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tapage | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Tornado Boy | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Straight Up Smarty | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cook Memories | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Northern Alliance | 1.60 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Trophy Bridle | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Chlobee | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wildwood Scat | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Real de Jalpa | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Little Chick | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Z U Now | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | The Dogmen | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | World Tax War (IRE) | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kaliningrad | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Off to the Beach | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pharaoh’s Kitten | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Rocket Ride | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Magic Jack | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Liberal Lunacy | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Can’t Hide From Me | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Trappe Valley | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bushrod | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jack Van Berg | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Speightsong | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tough Stuff | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rip It Ryan | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tak | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Takafumi (BRZ) | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.