August 6, 2020 Saratoga Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Macho Jack | 1.60 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Love Code | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Warfront Fighter | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Boss Life | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cause I Said So | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Verify | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Talespin | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Union Charm | 50.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Keota | 0.80 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Overheated | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Grudge | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Jades Gelly | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Wicked Amber | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bourbon ‘n Ditch | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Malibu Mischief | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | No More Miracles | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Star of the West | 1.20 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | I Saw It All | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Our American Star | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Dublin Green | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ridolfo | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | My Sacred Place | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Catch a Cab | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 7 | Good Old Boy | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 8 | Nutzforboltz | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Pipes | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Mission Command | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Calculated Risker | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 6 | Big Mountain | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Hushion | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dr. Shane | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Honorable Hero | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Curlin’s Legacy | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Fleet Admiral | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Stoney Bennett | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Guardian Moon | 2.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Lollygag | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Shesadirtydancer | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1A | 1 | Niiji | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Herald Angel | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Going Going Gone | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Bustin Bay | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 4A | 4 | Gone and Forgotten | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Ruby Stiletto | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6B | 5 | Chasing Cara | 15.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 9B | 8 | Cara’s Dreamer | 15.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Wicked Title | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Heartstrings | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | La Negrita | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gesture | 1.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Intoxicologist | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lake Chicot | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Barbara P | 30.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bella Invasion | 50.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Eliade (FR) | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hungry Kitten | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dyna Passer | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tizahra | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mighty Scarlett | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pallas Athene | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tass | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Red Curls | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – New York Stallion Series S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Fresco | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jolting Joe | 1.80 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Turbo Drive | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dream Bigger | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Stuy Town Baby | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Zipalong | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Elusive Ruler | 1.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Tikhvin Flew | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Swordsman | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Catorat | 5.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Revenio | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | King’s Honor (IRE) | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Kid Chocolate | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Zelenka | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Implied Volatility | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Shiny Copper Penny | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | The Rock Says | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Polar Bear Pete | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.