Arlington Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, August 6, 2020

August 6, 2020 Arlington Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Vice Grip 4.50 2.9 5-1
1 1 La Negra Noche 4.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Ashleysdream 10.00 3.5 7-1
4 3 Sundance Chick 20.00 4.2 8-1
6 5 Rend Lake Baby 15.00 4.5 9-1
3 3 W W Valid 3.50 SCRATCH
7 7 Shez Stuck Up 1.20 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Magic Man’s Touch 2.00 2 4-1
1 1 Ugo 4.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Freakin Joe 2.50 2.4 5-1
5 5 Bold Attack 8.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Magi 3.50 4 7-1
3 3 Red Prince 15.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Prudent Hero 30.00 4.3 8-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Room to Finish 1.80 2.9 5-1
4 4 Oh So Terrible 6.00 2.9 6-1
2 2 Latest Version 4.50 3.5 7-1
3 3 Diamonds Are A 3.50 3.7 7-1
1 1 Russian Mafia 10.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Carissa Crismas 15.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Kuora (PER) 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Orcus 1.80 2.7 5-1
3 3 Gold Hawk 2.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Cadet Captain 4.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Rich E Z 8.00 3.8 7-1
8 7 Saturdays Hangover 15.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Landing Gear 15.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Sumner 10.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Fort Ramsey 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Sydney’s Treasure 2.50 1.1 2-1
2 2 Wildwood Maggie 3.50 2.1 4-1
4 4 Lilys From Paris 4.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Laura Attack 4.50 2.5 5-1
1 1 Executive Time 6.00 3 6-1
6 6 Millie 5.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Cocoa Peach 15.00 4.9 9-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 6 Bizzee Channel 2.50 2 4-1
3 3 Stock Trade 3.50 2.4 5-1
2 2 Exprompt (FR) 4.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 River Cactus 6.00 3.4 6-1
5 4 And Won 8.00 5.2 10-1
8 5 Girlolamo’glory 15.00 6.9 13-1
4 4 Merlin’s Song 10.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Violator 10.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Iwillpersevere 20.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Landofthepharaohs 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 No Boundaries 3.00 1.7 3-1
10 9 Roar of the Lion 3.50 2.3 4-1
1 1 Prince Arlo 4.00 2.7 5-1
6 5 Starlin 5.00 3.7 7-1
9 8 Contraction 12.00 4.2 8-1
5 4 Al Taweel 12.00 4.4 8-1
8 7 Slick as a Pin 6.00 4.9 9-1
7 6 Midnight Joker 30.00 7.2 14-1
4 3 Dancin Nicky 30.00 7.3 14-1
2 2 Tornado Boy 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Summer Castle 5.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 River Evangelist 3.50 3.2 6-1
6 6 Dragunov 6.00 3.3 6-1
9 9 Christian C 2.50 4.4 8-1
8 8 Fort Ridge 10.00 4.4 8-1
10 10 Behind Enemy Lines 10.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 No Cents Left 15.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 Fort Dixie 15.00 6.3 12-1
2 2 Volgograd 20.00 7.1 13-1
11 11 Golden Gift 12.00 7.2 14-1
7 7 Fleetway 20.00 7.8 15-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.