August 5, 2020 Saratoga Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Handicap)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6A | 6 | Elucidation (IRE) | 1.80 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | New Member (IRE) | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1A | 1 | Must See The Doc (GB) | 1.80 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Iranistan | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cracker Factory (GB) | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Show Court (IRE) | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Maccabee | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | No Wunder (GB) | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mutasaawy | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Naughty Prince | 1.80 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | The Joke’s On You | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Icy Dude | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mine the Coin | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sneads | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Soul Fight | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Macho Boy | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | King of American | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Three Jokers | 1.40 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Three Outlaws | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Luna’s in Charge | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | More Graytful | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Inside Info | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Veterans Beach | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Freewheeler | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Summer Colony S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Nonna Madeline | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Golden Award | 1.20 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Always Shopping | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bellera | 1.80 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bossy Bride | 30.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | No Mo’ Spending | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Big Time Lady | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Summer Brew | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Rossa Veloce | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mashnee Girl | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rosey’s Peach | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Minerva Doubleplay | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fastelle | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lil Thirsty | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 1 | Twisted Tom | 1.60 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Control Group | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Doups Point | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Playwright | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Durkin’s Call | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hit It Once More | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4A | 4 | I Love Jaxson | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Black Magic Woman | 1.20 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Love On the Run | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Harlem Heights | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Apurate | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Soft N Lovely | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Heavenly Sis | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Superbloodwolfmoon | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Intrepid Heart | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Dunph | 5.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Super Dude | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Han Sense | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Grumps Little Tots | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Winston’s Chance | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Prompt | 10.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Zoomer | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Traipsing | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Kreesie | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Espresso Shot | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Foxtail | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Teheran (IRE) | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | She’s Got You (GB) | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 2 | Herwaze | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Adorable Maya | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 4 | Beyond Brown | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 1 | Sophie Fatale | 50.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cainudothetwist | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Women Not Easy | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Gen Z | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Gotta B Bold | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Plink Freud | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.