August 5, 2020 Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Tiz Ferguson | 1.40 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Juror Number Four | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cilla | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Honor Your Mother | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Silver Street | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hickory Dickorydoc | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | All Good Times | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Heatherly | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sierra Leona | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Starting Tour | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dazzle Me | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Saratoga Style | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Yesterdaysplan | 12.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Misdriven | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Kit Kat Katie | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Big Affair | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sunflower Girl | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Passion’s Image | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dogwood Queen | 5.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Smarty Cat | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Four Seasons Girl | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Sunday Red | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Moon Over Victoria | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Filly Ride | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Adabel | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Thatwouldbegrand | 1.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Honor Run | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Quad Eights | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Miami Steve | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cowboy Gandhi | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mousetrap | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Jumpstartmyheart | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tanda’s Joy | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Nana’s Shoes | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Uncle Mo’s Affair | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | China Cat | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Itsagimme’s Girl | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Princess Palomar | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Lady Breanna | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Don’t Charge It | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Theaterintheround | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Miss Aja Brown | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cosita Rica | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | There Goes My Girl | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mamma Dee | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Absentee | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Skol Factor | 1.80 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Town Champ | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Workin On a Dream | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | W W Springtime | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Day the Music Died | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Perfect Cover | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Buzz Off | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wild About Deb | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Storm Prophet | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Solar Warming | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fine Spirit | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Affluential | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Too Much Data | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Pumpkin Star | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Rock Solid Golfer | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Bay Bridge | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Year of the Kitten | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Great Bend | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Scherzo | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | So Sublime | 15.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Amy’s Challenge | 1.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 8A | 8 | Decoupage | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6A | 6 | Last True Love | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Warm | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Never Enough Time | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bye Bye Bertie | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Trolley Ride | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dixie Serenade | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Phantom Shot | 10.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.