Sports from the Basement

Saratoga Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, August 2, 2020

August 2, 2020 Saratoga Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Delaware Destiny 1.80 1.8 3-1
3 2 Mrs Frankel (IRE) 2.50 2.4 5-1
4 3 Uyuni 4.00 3.2 6-1
5 4 Blend 4.50 3.9 7-1
2 1 Feeling Pretty 6.00 4.9 9-1
6 5 Simply Ravishing 8.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Guana Cay 1.20 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Curlin Grey 1.80 1.6 3-1
7 7 Walkoff 1.40 2.7 5-1
2 2 Mills 4.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Shadow Rider 8.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Horoscope 8.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Eden Ridge 20.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Real Dan 30.00 5.6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6A 6 Tide of the Sea 1.20 1.4 3-1
5A 5 Channel Island 1.20 1.6 3-1
4 4 Mr. Alec 1.40 2 4-1
3 3 Bluegrass Parkway 3.50 2 4-1
1 1 Shore Magic 6.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 African Heritage 20.00 5.2 10-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Kilmarknock 2.50 2.1 4-1
2 2 Determined One 4.00 3.1 6-1
8 7 Bank Gala 4.50 3.5 7-1
1 1 J P’s Song 8.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Long Island City 5.00 4 7-1
6 5 Bielefeld 8.00 4.1 8-1
9 8 Dreamofasamurai 10.00 5 9-1
4 4 Prince Halo 15.00 7.4 14-1
5 5 Talespin 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Unleveraged 0.60 1.6 3-1
3 2 Ian Glass 5.00 2.3 4-1
6 5 War Film 4.50 2.3 4-1
5 4 Megacity 6.00 2.6 5-1
2A 1 Bad Guy 12.00 4.3 8-1
7 6 Impazible Odds 15.00 5 9-1
4 3 Coral Legacy 30.00 6.2 12-1
1A 1 Mr. Shortandsimple 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Lady Lilly 3.50 1.3 2-1
4 4 Mo Dean 4.00 1.3 3-1
9 9 Beautiful Farewell 4.50 1.5 3-1
5 5 My Alluring Lady 5.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Spun d’Etat 6.00 1.8 3-1
8 8 Right to Freedom 8.00 2.7 5-1
10 10 Malibu Luna 8.00 3 6-1
1 1 Needacarcalllouie 15.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Miss Morgantown 15.00 5 10-1
7 7 Malibu Curl 30.00 8.6 16-1
11 11 Lutescoot N Boogie 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Shiraz 3.50 2.4 5-1
9 8 Square Shooter 4.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Dowse’s Beach 3.00 3 6-1
4 4 Banana Thief 5.00 3.6 7-1
8 7 Kitten’s Cat 6.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Discretionary Marq 8.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Duncastle 8.00 6.3 12-1
3 3 Field of Courage 12.00 7.5 14-1
7 7 Thousand Percent 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 5 Moonachie 8.00 2.6 5-1
11 9 Fort Worth 1.60 2.7 5-1
3 2 Riken 6.00 2.8 5-1
8 6 Harris Bay 5.00 3.3 6-1
9 7 Midnight Whiskey 15.00 3.4 6-1
5 3 Wushu Warrior 12.00 3.8 7-1
6 4 Gandy Dancing 4.00 3.9 7-1
10 8 Leap to Glory 30.00 6.5 12-1
2 1 Quintarelli 50.00 8.5 16-1
1 1 Samay 30.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Inside Info 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Birdstone S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Moretti 1.60 2.2 4-1
4 3 Rocketry 3.50 2.7 5-1
3 2 Expert 5.00 3.8 7-1
5 4 American Tattoo (ARG) 8.00 5.1 10-1
2 1 You’re to Blame 12.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Standard Deviation 4.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Highland Sky 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 6 Double Advantage 4.00 1.7 3-1
3 2 Buona Fina 3.50 1.8 3-1
9 7 Height 4.50 1.8 3-1
2 1 Tactician 4.00 2.1 4-1
5 4 Kickin’ Kirby 10.00 2.7 5-1
7 5 Bubba Chuck 15.00 3.1 6-1
4 3 John Want Revenge 50.00 7 13-1
6 6 Seediskid 50.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Striking Speed 2.50 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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