August 1, 2020 Saratoga Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Reinvestment Risk | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Winfromwithin | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Windcracker | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4A | 4 | Olympiad | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6A | 6 | Outlier | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Team Merchants | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Zunith Moon | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Venerable | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Regular Guy | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Spirit Animal | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fog of War | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dream Friend | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hidden Scroll | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | En Wye Cee | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | King Cause | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Winston’s Chance | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | No Salt | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Regal Speaker | 1.80 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Allied Invasion | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | K. K. Ichikawa | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | School Street | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | False Alarm | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Supply Sider | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mr. Fidget | 30.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Golconda | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Searing Chase | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dreams of Tomorrow | 1.80 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Ima Pharoah | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Uncle Moonlight | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pardsy | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Obsessed | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Point Driven | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Matty’s Marauder | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Futuro | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Personal Ensign S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Vexatious | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Point of Honor | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Midnight Bisou | 0.40 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Motion Emotion | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Abounding Joy | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bossy Bride | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Everfast | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Stage Left | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mister Winston | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cool Bobby | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Famished | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Foolish Ghost | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Vintage Hollywood | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Speightful Kitten | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | King of Miami | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Modern Science (IRE) | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Habitus | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Explain | 10.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Shawdyshawdyshawdy | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sol Del Sur | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Flight to Paradise | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lease | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Berhanu | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bustin Bieber | 30.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Amano | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Montauk Summer | 10.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Reigning Spirit | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Holy Emperor | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Caribbean Gold | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Bail Out | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Mystery Bank | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Noble Mischief | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Vriodini | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Whitney S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Improbable | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tom’s d’Etat | 1.20 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Code of Honor | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | By My Standards | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mr. Buff | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – H. Allen Jerkens S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Eight Rings | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Tap It to Win | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Shoplifted | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | No Parole | 1.80 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Three Technique | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mischevious Alex | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Echo Town | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Liam’s Pride | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Captain Bombastic | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sonneman | 50.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hopeful Treasure | 50.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Bowling Green S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Channel Maker | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cross Border | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sadler’s Joy | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dot Matrix | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Marzo | 8.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Highland Sky | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Pillar Mountain (IRE) | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 12 (Stakes) – Caress S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Dalika (GER) | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | I’llhandalthecash | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Cariba | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sweet Bye and Bye | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mother Mother | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Miss Gossip (IRE) | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jakarta | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Introduced | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Getmotherarose | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Saratoga Treasure | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.