Sports from the Basement

Saratoga Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, August 1, 2020

August 1, 2020 Saratoga Horse Racing Picks.


Try SFTB Plus for Free

$10 a Month Gets You Horse Racing Advanced Stats including an optimizer for each race.

Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!

Learn More

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Reinvestment Risk 3.00 1.7 3-1
8 8 Winfromwithin 4.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 Windcracker 4.00 2.3 4-1
4A 4 Olympiad 3.50 2.3 4-1
6A 6 Outlier 3.50 2.3 4-1
9 9 Team Merchants 6.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Zunith Moon 8.00 4.5 8-1
7 7 Venerable 10.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Regular Guy 15.00 7.4 14-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Spirit Animal 3.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Fog of War 2.00 2.4 5-1
3 3 Dream Friend 2.50 2.5 5-1
5 5 Hidden Scroll 5.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 En Wye Cee 5.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 King Cause 10.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 Winston’s Chance 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 No Salt 3.50 1.6 3-1
9 8 Regal Speaker 1.80 1.9 4-1
1 1 Allied Invasion 5.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 K. K. Ichikawa 4.00 2.7 5-1
8 7 School Street 8.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 False Alarm 12.00 4.5 8-1
7 6 Supply Sider 30.00 7.5 14-1
3 3 Mr. Fidget 30.00 8.6 16-1
6 6 Golconda 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Searing Chase 6.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 Dreams of Tomorrow 1.80 2.9 5-1
5 4 Ima Pharoah 2.50 3 6-1
6 5 Uncle Moonlight 10.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Pardsy 10.00 3.7 7-1
9 8 Obsessed 12.00 3.8 7-1
7 6 Point Driven 20.00 6.3 12-1
8 7 Matty’s Marauder 30.00 7.8 15-1
4 4 Futuro 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Personal Ensign S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Vexatious 5.00 2.3 4-1
6 5 Point of Honor 2.50 2.7 5-1
3 3 Midnight Bisou 0.40 3.1 6-1
2 2 Motion Emotion 20.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Abounding Joy 20.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Bossy Bride 50.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Everfast 2.00 1.9 4-1
6 6 Stage Left 4.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Mister Winston 2.50 2.9 5-1
3 3 Cool Bobby 5.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Famished 10.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Foolish Ghost 12.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Vintage Hollywood 12.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Speightful Kitten 20.00 6.6 12-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 King of Miami 2.50 2 4-1
8 8 Modern Science (IRE) 3.50 2 4-1
10 10 Habitus 3.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Explain 10.00 2.9 6-1
6 6 Shawdyshawdyshawdy 8.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Sol Del Sur 10.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Flight to Paradise 12.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Lease 15.00 5.1 10-1
9 9 Berhanu 15.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Bustin Bieber 30.00 8.2 16-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Amano 2.00 2 4-1
6 5 Montauk Summer 10.00 2.2 4-1
8 7 Reigning Spirit 2.50 2.5 5-1
1 1 Holy Emperor 4.50 2.7 5-1
4 3 Caribbean Gold 12.00 3.5 7-1
3 2 Bail Out 6.00 3.5 7-1
5 4 Mystery Bank 8.00 3.5 7-1
9 8 Noble Mischief 30.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Vriodini 50.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Whitney S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Improbable 2.50 2.1 4-1
5 5 Tom’s d’Etat 1.20 2.3 4-1
3 3 Code of Honor 2.50 2.6 5-1
1 1 By My Standards 4.50 2.8 5-1
4 4 Mr. Buff 12.00 4.5 8-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – H. Allen Jerkens S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Eight Rings 8.00 3.3 6-1
11 11 Tap It to Win 5.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Shoplifted 12.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 No Parole 1.80 3.8 7-1
8 8 Three Technique 6.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Mischevious Alex 8.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Echo Town 4.50 4.4 8-1
9 9 Liam’s Pride 20.00 4.7 9-1
10 10 Captain Bombastic 15.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Sonneman 50.00 9.3 18-1
1 1 Hopeful Treasure 50.00 9.8 18-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Bowling Green S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Channel Maker 3.50 2.2 4-1
2 2 Cross Border 2.50 2.2 4-1
6 6 Sadler’s Joy 2.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Dot Matrix 4.50 3.2 6-1
1 1 Marzo 8.00 4 7-1
3 3 Highland Sky 15.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 Pillar Mountain (IRE) 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 12 (Stakes) – Caress S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Dalika (GER) 3.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 I’llhandalthecash 4.00 2.5 5-1
9 9 Cariba 4.50 2.6 5-1
3 3 Sweet Bye and Bye 6.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Mother Mother 8.00 5.2 10-1
10 10 Miss Gossip (IRE) 12.00 6.8 13-1
5 5 Jakarta 10.00 6.8 13-1
4 4 Introduced 10.00 6.8 13-1
1 1 Getmotherarose 12.00 7.3 14-1
8 8 Saratoga Treasure 15.00 8.4 16-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

Upcoming Bankroll Contests
Thursday Gulfstream Park
Begins Thu, Aug 6 12:00 PM ET
Thursday Saratoga
Begins Thu, Aug 6 1:10 PM ET
Thursday Delaware Park
Begins Thu, Aug 6 1:15 PM ET
Thursday Arlington
Begins Thu, Aug 6 3:05 PM ET
Thursday Woodbine
Begins Thu, Aug 6 3:20 PM ET
Go To Lobby
SFTB Plus

$10 a Month Gets You DFS Optimizers, Horse Racing Advanced Stats, and More.

Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!

Learn More
SFTB Parties

Choose Your Events and Create Your Own Sportsbook for You and Your Friends.

Only $3 to set up, and includes unlimited guests.

Learn More
Scoreboard
NBA Basketball
4th 6:40
Oklahoma City Thunder 92
Los Angeles Lakers 77
Details
NBA Basketball
2nd 2:53
Toronto Raptors 43
Orlando Magic 28
Details
NHL Hockey
Final
Tampa Bay Lightning 3
Boston Bruins 2
Details
NBA Basketball
9:00 PM ET
Brooklyn Nets
Boston Celtics
Details
NBA Basketball
Final
Memphis Grizzlies 115
Utah Jazz 124
Details
NBA Basketball
Final
Denver Nuggets 132
San Antonio Spurs 126
Details
NHL Hockey
3rd 5:00
Colorado Avalanche 4
Dallas Stars 0
Details
NHL Hockey
Final
New York Islanders 2
Florida Panthers 3
Details
MLB Baseball
4th Bot
New York Yankees 1
Philadelphia Phillies 1
Details
MLB Baseball
Final
Philadelphia Phillies 11
New York Yankees 7
Details
Go to Scoreboard